Osteoporosis - primary prevention: appraisal consultation document (March 2008)

 

NATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR HEALTH AND CLINICAL EXCELLENCE
Appraisal Consultation Document
Alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women

 

The Department of Health and the Welsh Assembly Government have asked the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE or the Institute) to conduct a multiple technology appraisal of alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women and provide guidance on their use to the NHS in England and Wales. The Appraisal Committee has had its first meeting following the publication of the appeal decision in December 2007 to consider both the new evidence presented and comments put forward by consultees and commentators. The Committee has developed preliminary recommendations on the use of alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women.

This document has been prepared for consultation with the formal consultees. It summarises the evidence and views that have been considered and sets out the preliminary recommendations developed by the Committee. The Institute is now inviting comments from the formal consultees in the appraisal process (the consultees for this appraisal are listed on the NICE website, www.nice.org.uk). This document should be read in conjunction with the evidence base for this appraisal (the evaluation report) which is available from www.nice.org.uk.

Note that this document does not constitute the Institute's formal guidance on these technologies. The recommendations made in section 1 are preliminary and may change after consultation.

The process the Institute will follow after the consultation period is summarised below. For further details, see the 'Guide to the Technology Appraisal Process' (this document is available on the Institute's website, www.nice.org.uk).

  • The Appraisal Committee will meet again to consider the original evidence and this appraisal consultation document in the light of the views of the formal consultees.
  • At that meeting, the Committee will also consider comments made on the document by people who are not formal consultees in the appraisal process.
  • After considering feedback from the consultation process, the Committee will prepare the final appraisal determination (FAD) and submit it to the Institute.
  • Subject to any appeal by consultees, the FAD may be used as the basis for the Institute's guidance on the use of the appraised technologies in the NHS in England and Wales.

The key dates for this appraisal are:
Closing date for comments: 23 April 2008
Second Appraisal Committee meeting: 1 May 2008

Details of membership of the Appraisal Committee are given in appendix A, and a list of the sources of evidence used in the preparation of this document is given in Appendix B.

Note that this document does not constitute the Institute's formal guidance on these technologies. The recommendations made in section 1 are preliminary and may change after consultation.

1 Appraisal Committee's preliminary recommendations

 

This guidance relates only to treatments for the primary prevention of fragility fractures in postmenopausal women who have osteoporosis.

This guidance does not cover the following:

  • The treatment of women who have sustained a clinically apparent osteoporotic fragility fracture (for recommendations for the treatment of women with a prior osteoporotic fragility fracture, see the accompanying NICE technology appraisal, 'Alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene, strontium ranelate and teriparatide for the secondary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women'.
  • The use of alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene or strontium ranelate for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fractures in women with normal bone mineral density (BMD) or osteopenia (that is, women with a T-score* between -1 and -2.5 standard deviations [SDs] below peak BMD).
  • The use of these drugs for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fractures in women who are on long-term systemic corticosteroid therapy.

NICE is developing a clinical guideline on 'Osteoporosis: assessment of fracture risk and the prevention of osteoporotic fractures in individuals at high risk'. This guideline covers the treatment of all individuals at high risk, including those who have osteopenia and those who are on long-term corticosteroid therapy. This technology appraisal guidance should be read in the context of the clinical guideline when it is available.

This guidance assumes that women who receive treatment have an adequate calcium intake and are vitamin D replete. Unless clinicians are confident that women who receive treatment have an adequate calcium intake and are vitamin D replete, calcium and/or vitamin D supplementation should be considered.

(*T-score relates to the measurement of BMD using axial [hip and/or spine] dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry [DXA] scanning and is expressed as the number of SDs from peak BMD.)

1.1

Alendronate is recommended as a treatment option for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in the following groups:

  • Women aged 70 years or older who have an independent clinical risk factor for fracture (see section 1.5) or an indicator of low BMD (see section 1.6) and who also have a T-score of -2.5 SD or below. In women aged 75 years or older who have two or more independent clinical risk factors for fracture or indicators of low BMD, a DXA scan may not be required if the responsible clinician considers it to be clinically inappropriate or unfeasible.
  • Women aged 65-69 years who have an independent clinical risk factor for fracture (see section 1.5) and a T-score of -2.5 SD or below.
  • Postmenopausal women younger than 65 years with additional indicators of low BMD (see section 1.6) and one independent clinical factor for fracture (see section 1.5) and who also have a T-score of -2.5 SD or below.

When the decision has been made to initiate treatment with alendronate, the preparation prescribed should be chosen on the basis of the lowest acquisition cost available.

1.2

Risedronate and etidronate are recommended as alternative treatment options for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women:

  • who are unable to comply with the special instructions for the administration of alendronate, or who have a contraindication to or are intolerant of alendronate (as defined in section 1.7) and
  • who also have a T-score, age and number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture (see section 1.5) as indicated in the following table.

        T-scores (SD) at (or below) which risedronate or etidronate is recommended

  Number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture (see section 1.5)
Age (years) 0 1 2
65-69 -a -3.5 -3.5
70-74 -3.5 -3.5 -3.0
75 or older -3.5 -3.0 -2.5

a Treatment with risedronate or etidronate is not recommended.

1.3

Strontium ranelate is recommended as an alternative treatment option for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women:

  • who are unable to comply with the special instructions for the administration of alendronate and risedronate, or who have a contraindication to or are intolerant of alendronate and risedronate (as defined in section 1.7) and
  • who also have a T-score, age and number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture (see section 1.5) as indicated in the following table.

          T-scores (SD) at (or below) which strontium ranelate is recommended

  Number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture (section 1.5)
Age (years) 0 1 2
65-69 - b -4.5 -3.5
70-74 -4.5 -4.0 -3.5
75 or older -4.0 -4.0 -3.0

b Treatment with strontium ranelate is not recommended.

1.4 Raloxifene is not recommended as a treatment option for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women.
1.5 For the purposes of this guidance, independent clinical risk factors for fracture are parental history of hip fracture, alcohol intake of 4 or more units per day, and severe long-term rheumatoid arthritis.
1.6

For the purposes of this guidance, indicators of low BMD are low body mass index (defined as less than 22 kg/m2) and medical conditions such as ankylosing spondylitis, Crohn's disease, conditions that result in prolonged immobility, and untreated premature menopausec.

c Rheumatoid arthritis is also a medical condition indicative of low BMD.

1.7 For the purposes of this guidance, intolerance of alendronate or risedronate is defined as persistent upper gastrointestinal disturbance that is sufficiently severe to warrant discontinuation of treatment, and that occurs even though the instructions for administration have been followed correctly.
1.8 For the purposes of this guidance, primary prevention refers to opportunistic identification, during visits to a healthcare professional for any reason, of postmenopausal women who are at risk of osteoporotic fragility fractures and who could benefit from drug treatment. It does not imply a dedicated screening programme.
1.9 Women who are currently receiving treatment with one of the drugs covered by this guidance, but for whom treatment would have not been recommended according to sections 1.1 to 1.4, should have the option to continue treatment until they and their clinicians consider it appropriate to stop.

 

2 Clinical need and practice

2.1 Osteoporosis is a progressive, systemic skeletal disorder characterised by low bone mass and micro-architectural deterioration of bone tissue, with a consequent increase in bone fragility and susceptibility to fracture.
2.2 Bone formation exceeds bone resorption in youth, but by the third decade of life there is a gradual loss of bone mass. Osteoporosis is therefore usually an age-related disease. It can affect both sexes, but women are at greater risk because the decrease in oestrogen production after the menopause accelerates bone loss to a variable degree.
2.3

The World Health Organization (WHO) has established diagnostic criteria for osteoporosis based on the measurement of BMD, expressed as the T-score, which is the number of standard deviations (SDs) below the mean BMD of young adults at their peak bone mass:

  • Normal BMD: T-score of -1 SD or above.
  • Osteopenia: T-score of between -1 and -2.5 SD.
  • Osteoporosis: T-score of -2.5 SD or below.
  • Established (severe) osteoporosis: T-score of -2.5 SD or below with one or more associated fractures.
2.4 T-score measurements vary depending on the site and method of investigation. Measurement of BMD using axial (hip and/or spine) DXA scanning can estimate fracture risk.
2.5 It is estimated that more than 2 million women have osteoporosis (that is, have a T-score of -2.5 SD or below) in England and Wales. Osteoporosis is most common in older white women. After the menopause, the prevalence of osteoporosis increases markedly with age, from approximately 2% at 50 years rising to more than 25% at 80 years.
2.6 Fragility fracture is the clinically apparent and relevant outcome in osteoporosis (referred to as 'fracture' or 'osteoporotic fracture' in the following text). It is often referred to as a low-trauma fracture; that is, a fracture sustained as the result of a force equivalent to the force of a fall from a height equal to, or less than, that of an ordinary chair. In the absence of fracture the condition is asymptomatic and often remains undiagnosed. Osteoporotic fractures occur most commonly in the vertebrae, hip and wrist, and are associated with substantial disability, pain and reduced quality of life.
2.7 In women aged over 50 years, the lifetime risk of a vertebral fracture is estimated to be one in three, and that of hip fracture, one in five. Postmenopausal women with an initial fracture are at substantially greater risk of subsequent fractures. For instance, a woman with a vertebral fracture has an increased relative risk (RR) of 4.4 for a further vertebral fracture, 2.3 for a hip fracture, and 1.4 for a wrist fracture.
2.8 It is estimated that annually there are 180,000 osteoporosis-related symptomatic fractures in England and Wales. Of these, 70,000 are hip fractures, 25,000 are clinical vertebral fractures, and 41,000 are wrist fractures.
2.9 After a hip fracture, a high proportion of women are permanently unable to walk independently or to perform other activities of daily living and, consequently, many are unable to live independently. Hip fractures are also associated with increased mortality; estimates of the relative mortality risk vary from 2 to greater than 10 in the 12 months following hip fracture. However, it is unclear to what extent this can be attributed to fracture alone as opposed to pre-existing comorbidity.
2.10 Vertebral fractures can be associated with curvature of the spine and loss of height and can result in pain, breathing difficulties, gastrointestinal problems and difficulties in performing activities of daily living. It is thought that the majority of vertebral fractures (50-70%) do not come to clinical attention. Vertebral fractures are also associated with increased mortality; UK-specific data indicate a 4.4-fold increase in mortality related to vertebral fracture. However, as with hip fractures, it is unclear to what extent this may be due to comorbidities.
2.11 In addition to increasing age and low BMD, other clinical factors have been associated with osteoporosis. Some of these clinical factors are at least partly independent of BMD, and include parental history of hip fracture, alcohol intake of 4 or more units per day, prior fracture, long-term systemic use of corticosteroids (the latter two of which are not covered in this guidance), and severe long-term rheumatoid arthritis.
2.12 Other factors that are known to be indicators of low BMD include: low body mass index (defined as less than 22 kg/m2); untreated premature menopause; and medical conditions including ankylosing spondylitis, Crohn's disease and conditions that result in prolonged immobility.

 

3 The technologies

Bisphosphonates: alendronate, etidronate and risedronate

3.1 The bisphosphonates alendronate, etidronate and risedronate are inhibitors of bone resorption and increase BMD by altering osteoclast activation and function.
3.2 Alendronate is an oral bisphosphonate licensed in the UK as a once-weekly preparation (70 mg) for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis. It is also licensed at a daily dose of 10 mg for the treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women to prevent fractures. Weekly non-proprietary alendronate (Teva Pharmaceutical Industries) costs £4.12 for four 70-mg tablets and £8.30 for 28 10-mg tablets (excluding VAT; NHS Drug Tariff, 24 February 2008). At these prices the drug costs for 1 year are £53.56 for once-weekly (70-mg) tablets and £108.20 for daily (10-mg) tablets. Proprietary alendronate (Fosamax; Merck Sharp & Dohme) is priced at £22.80 for four 70-mg tablets and £23.12 for 28 10-mg tablets (excluding VAT; British national formulary [BNF] edition 54). At these prices, the drug costs for 1 year are £296.40 for once-weekly tablets and £301.39 for daily tablets. Costs may vary in different settings because of negotiated procurement discounts.
3.3 Etidronate (Didronel; Procter & Gamble Pharmaceuticals UK) is an oral bisphosphonate licensed in the UK for the treatment of osteoporosis. The drug is administered in 90-day cycles, with each cycle consisting of etidronate (400 mg/day) for 14 days followed by calcium carbonate (1.25 g/day) for the remaining 76 days. The price per 90-day pack is £21.12 (excluding VAT; BNF 54), which equates to a yearly cost of £85.65. Costs may vary in different settings because of negotiated procurement discounts.
3.4 Risedronate (Actonel; Procter & Gamble Pharmaceuticals UK) is an oral bisphosphonate licensed in the UK at a dosage of 5 mg/day or 35 mg/week for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis, to reduce the risk of vertebral fractures, and for the treatment of established postmenopausal osteoporosis, to reduce the risk of hip fractures. Prices are £19.10 for 28 5-mg tablets and £20.30 for four 35-mg tablets (excluding VAT; BNF54), which equates to yearly costs of £248.98 for the daily treatment or £264.63 for the once-weekly treatment. Costs may vary in different settings because of negotiated procurement discounts.
3.5 Gastrointestinal side effects are common with oral bisphosphonates. In people with oesophageal abnormalities and other factors that delay oesophageal transit or emptying, risedronate should be used cautiously and alendronate is contraindicated. For full details of side effects and contraindications, see the summaries of product characteristics.
3.6 Bisphosphonates have relatively complex instructions for administration. Alendronate and risedronate must be taken with 200 ml and 120 ml of water, respectively. Before and immediately after administration patients should not eat or drink, and must remain upright for stipulated time periods. Etidronate should be taken with water at the midpoint of a 4-hour fast (that is, 2 hours after and 2 hours before food, vitamins with mineral supplements such as iron, calcium supplements, laxatives containing magnesium, or antacids containing calcium or aluminium).

Selective oestrogen receptor modulator: raloxifene

3.7 Selective oestrogen receptor modulators (SERMs) are drugs with selective activity in various organ systems, acting as weak oestrogen-receptor agonists in some systems and as oestrogen antagonists in others. The aim of treatment with SERMs is to maximise the beneficial effects of oestrogen on bone and to minimise the adverse effects on the breast and endometrium.
3.8 Raloxifene(Evista; Eli Lilly and Company) is the only SERM licensed for the treatment of osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. The recommended dosage is 60 mg/day. The prices of 28- and 84-tablet packs are £17.06 and £59.59, respectively (excluding VAT; BNF 54), which equate to yearly costs of £222.39 and £258.93, respectively. Costs may vary in different settings because of negotiated procurement discounts.
3.9 Raloxifene is contraindicated in people with a history of venous thromboembolism (VTE), hepatic impairment, cholestasis, severe renal impairment, unexplained uterine bleeding or endometrial cancer. Raloxifene should not be co-administered with systemic oestrogens, and in patients with breast cancer it should not be used for osteoporosis treatment or prevention until treatment of the breast cancer, including adjuvant therapy, has been completed. Raloxifene is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolic events, particularly during the first 4 months of treatment, which is similar to the reported risk associated with hormone replacement therapy. For full details of side effects and contraindications, see the summary of product characteristics.

Strontium ranelate

3.10 Strontium ranelate (Protelos; Servier Laboratories) is a divalent strontium salt of ranelic acid (strontium is an element with properties similar to calcium). It is thought to have a dual effect on bone metabolism, increasing bone formation and decreasing bone resorption. It is licensed for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis to reduce the risk of vertebral and hip fractures. The recommended dose is one 2-g sachet taken daily as a suspension in water. The price of a 28-sachet pack is £25.60 (excluding VAT; BNF 54), which equates to a yearly cost of £333.71. Costs may vary in different settings because of negotiated procurement discounts.
3.11 The absorption of strontium ranelate is reduced by food, milk and products derived from milk. It should therefore be administered between meals, ideally at bedtime and preferably at least 2 hours after eating.
3.12 The summary of product characteristics states that strontium ranelate is not recommended in patients with severe renal impairment and that strontium ranelate should be used with caution in patients at increased risk of VTE. Treatment with strontium ranelate should be discontinued during treatment with oral tetracycline or quinolone antibiotics. For full details of side effects, drug interactions and contraindications, see the summary of product characteristics.

 

4 Evidence and interpretation

  The Appraisal Committee (appendix A) considered evidence from a number of sources (appendix B).
4.1 Clinical effectiveness
  Efficacy
4.1.1 The Assessment Group for this appraisal (School of Health and Related Research University of Sheffield [ScHARR]) reviewed data from published randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in postmenopausal women in which fracture or health-related quality of life was an endpoint and where one of the five drugs of interest was compared with a relevant comparator, such as no treatment, placebo or one of the other included interventions. The majority of studies used placebo or no treatment as a control. Most studies ensured that women in all trial arms had normal calcium levels (that is, normal serum concentrations) or adequate supplementation, and some studies used additional dietary supplementation with vitamin D.
4.1.2 For this appraisal, reductions in RR associated with treatment were pooled regardless of the baseline BMD and fracture status of the participants in the studies. It was also assumed that these reductions in RR remain constant at all ages, although little evidence was available for the effectiveness of the drugs in women aged 80 years or older.
4.1.3 For vertebral fractures, some studies used clinical (that is, symptomatic) fractures as their endpoint whereas others used fractures that were identified radiographically. Vertebral fractures identified radiographically, which are termed 'radiographic fractures' or 'morphometric fractures', include both symptomatic and asymptomatic fractures. There are different definitions of a vertebral radiographic fracture, but those definitions that require a 20% reduction in vertebral height are generally recognised as producing more reliable results than those that require a 15% reduction.
4.1.4 For non-vertebral fracture types, individual data on hip, leg, pelvis, wrist, hand, foot, rib and humerus were sometimes provided, whereas some studies only presented data for all non-vertebral fractures grouped together.
  Alendronate
4.1.5 Sixteen RCTs of alendronate in postmenopausal women were included in the assessment report: two studies in women with low or normal BMD; one in women with osteopenia; eight in women with osteopenia or osteoporosis; four in women with osteoporosis; and one in women with established osteoporosis. Overall, 15 studies compared alendronate with placebo or with no treatment. All the studies were conducted in women who had adequate levels of calcium, from either dietary intake or calcium supplementation.
4.1.6 Two studies, one comparing alendronate with oestrogen alone or with oestrogen and alendronate combined, and the other comparing alendronate with teriparatide (licensed only for secondary and not primary prevention), found no statistically significant differences in clinically apparent fractures of any type in women with osteoporosis. However, back pain was reported less frequently by women in the teriparatide group compared with women in the alendronate group (6% versus 19%, p = 0.012).
4.1.7 In addition to the 16 RCTs, a 2-year study demonstrated the equivalence of weekly and daily doses of alendronate, in terms of clinical fracture incidence and gastrointestinal adverse events. However, this study was not included in the analysis because it did not include the specified comparators.
4.1.8 The meta-analysis for alendronate relative to placebo, carried out by the Assessment Group, resulted in an RR of vertebral fracture of 0.56 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.46 to 0.68, four RCTs, n = 7039), an RR of hip fracture of 0.62 (95% CI 0.40 to 0.98, three RCTs, n = 7455), an RR of wrist fracture of 0.67 (95% CI 0.34 to 1.31, four RCTs, n = 7931) and an RR for other non-vertebral fractures of 0.81 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.97, six RCTs, n = 9973).
4.1.9 A post-hoc analysis of data from the largest study on alendronate, the 'Fracture intervention trial' (FIT) RCT (non-vertebral fracture population), suggested that alendronate may be less effective at reducing fractures in women with T-scores greater (that is, better) than -2.5 SD compared with women with osteoporosis. Results for T-scores greater than -2.5 SD were not statistically significant.
4.1.10 Gastrointestinal adverse events including nausea, dyspepsia, mild oesophagitis/gastritis and abdominal pain were reported in at least one third of the participants in studies of alendronate. However, only one study found the increased frequency of these symptoms to be statistically significant relative to placebo. This is consistent with post-marketing studies that indicate that approximately one third of alendronate users experience gastrointestinal adverse events. To avoid oesophagitis, the summary of product characteristics now recommends that alendronate should be taken, upon rising for the day, with a full glass of water. It is possible that these instructions were not followed in all of the studies, particularly the earlier ones.
4.1.11 Prescription event-monitoring studies in patients for whom alendronate was prescribed (n = 11,916) by GPs in England demonstrated a high incidence of dyspepsia, particularly in the first month of treatment. Consultations for dyspepsia ranged from 32.2 per 1000 patient-months in the first month of treatment to 10.9 per 1000 patient-months in months 2 to 6. Because these studies lacked a comparator it is not possible to assess the extent to which these rates of upper gastrointestinal events may be above baseline levels in those not taking bisphosphonates.
4.1.12 One study reported health-related quality of life outcomes. At 12 months there were statistically significant improvements in the alendronate group compared with the control group in scores for pain, social isolation, energy level and physical ability.
  Etidronate
4.1.13 Twelve RCTs of etidronate in postmenopausal women were reviewed: three studies in women with low-to-normal BMD; two in women with osteopenia or osteoporosis; one in women with osteoporosis; one in women with osteoporosis or established osteoporosis; and five in women with established osteoporosis. Four studies included active comparators, and eight compared etidronate with placebo or with no treatment (although in six of these, study participants in all arms received calcium, either alone or with vitamin D). Some studies did not use the exact treatment regimen currently licensed in the UK (that is, 90-day cycles of etidronate 400 mg/day for 14 days, followed by calcium carbonate 1.25 g/day for the remaining 76 days). None of the studies reported health-related quality of life outcomes.
4.1.14 The meta-analysis of RCTs for etidronate relative to placebo carried out by the Assessment Group resulted in an RR of vertebral fracture of 0.40 (95% CI 0.20 to 0.83, three RCTs, n = 341), an RR of hip fracture of 0.50 (95% CI 0.05 to 5.34, two RCTs, n = 180), and an RR for other non-vertebral fractures of 1.04 (95% CI 0.64 to 1.69; four RCTs, n = 410). There were no data for wrist fracture.
4.1.15 An observational study in a general practice setting in the UK reported on fracture rates in people with a diagnosis of osteoporosis who were receiving etidronate compared with those who were not taking a bisphosphonate. People taking etidronate had an RR of non-vertebral fracture of 0.80 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.92). The RR of hip fracture was 0.66 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.85) and that of wrist fracture was 0.81 (95% CI 0.58 to 1.14).
4.1.16 Higher rates of gastrointestinal adverse effects were found in the etidronate groups of four RCTs, although the differences were not always statistically significant. However, non-RCT evidence and testimonies from clinical specialists and patient experts suggested that etidronate may be associated with fewer gastrointestinal adverse effects than other bisphosphonates.
4.1.17 The systematic review carried out by ScHARR in 2006 identified a cohort study conducted in the UK that indicated that etidronate may be associated with a much lower rate of upper gastrointestinal adverse effects than alendronate or risedronate.
  Risedronate
4.1.18 Seven RCTs of risedronate in postmenopausal women were reviewed: one study in women with normal BMD; one in women with osteopenia; one in women with osteopenia or osteoporosis; one in women with osteoporosis or specific risk factors for hip fracture, such as a recent fall; and three in women with established osteoporosis. All compared risedronate with placebo (although, with the exception of those in the normal BMD study, all women also received calcium) and none reported on health-related quality of life.
4.1.19 The meta-analysis for risedronate relative to placebo, carried out by the Assessment Group, resulted in an RR of vertebral fracture of 0.61 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.75, three RCTs, n = 2301), an RR of hip fracture of 0.74 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.93, three RCTs, n = 11,770), an RR of wrist fracture of 0.68 (95% CI0.43 to 1.08, two RCTs, n = 2439) and an RR for other non-vertebral fractures of 0.76 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.91, five RCTs, n = 12,399).
4.1.20 In all of the studies, rates of gastrointestinal adverse events were similar in the risedronate and placebo groups.
4.1.21 Prescription event-monitoring studies in patients for whom risedronate was prescribed (n = 13,643) by GPs in England suggested a high incidence of dyspepsia, particularly in the first month of treatment. Consultations for dyspepsia ranged from 26.9 per 1000 patient-months in the first month of treatment to 8.1 per 1000 patient-months in months 2 to 6.
  Alendronate and risedronate: meta-analysis
4.1.22 An analysis of pooled data from the alendronate and risedronate studies carried out by ScHARR in 2006 resulted in an RR of vertebral fracture of 0.58 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.67, seven RCTs, n = 9340), an RR of hip fracture of 0.71 (95% CI0.58 to 0.87, six RCTs, n = 19,233), an RR of wrist fracture of 0.69 (95% CI 0.45 to 1.05, six RCTs, n = 1037) and an RR for other non-vertebral fractures of 0.78 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.88, 11 RCTs, n = 22,372).
  Raloxifene
4.1.23 Three RCTs of raloxifene in postmenopausal women were identified, but only two were included in the Assessment Group's meta-analysis: the largest study (the 'Multiple outcomes of raloxifene evaluation' [MORE] study) was carried out in women with osteoporosis, of whom 37% had a vertebral fracture at entry, and a smaller study was conducted in women with established osteoporosis. Both compared raloxifene with placebo (in both studies, women in both arms received calcium and vitamin D). Both studies examined raloxifene at dosages of 60 mg/day (the UK- licensed dosage for the treatment of postmenopausal osteoporosis) and 120 mg/day. Neither reported on health-related quality of life. The mean age in the studies was 67-68 years. The MORE study was extended further to assess fracture, breast cancer, and cardiovascular and uterine safety outcomes. A third study examined the additive effect of raloxifene compared with placebo in women with a femoral neck T-score of -2 SD or lower (that is, worse), with or without prior fracture, who were also receiving fluoride, calcium and vitamin D. Because of the use of fluoride as a co-intervention, these results were not included in the Assessment Group's meta-analysis.
4.1.24 The meta-analysis for raloxifene relative to placebo, carried out by the Assessment Group, resulted in an RR of vertebral fracture of 0.65 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.79, one RCT, n = 4551), an RR of hip fracture of 1.13 (95% CI 0.66 to 1.96, two RCTs, n = 6971), an RR of wrist fracture of 0.89 (95% CI 0.68 to 1.15, one RCT, n = 6828), and an RR for other non-vertebral fractures of 0.92 (95% CI 0.79 to 1.07 one RCT, n = 6828).
4.1.25 The most serious adverse effect associated with raloxifene is the approximately three-fold increased risk of VTE. Statistically significantly higher incidences of hot flushes, arthralgia, dizziness, leg cramps, influenza-like symptoms, endometrial cavity fluid, peripheral oedema and worsening diabetes were also found with raloxifene compared with placebo. The impact of raloxifene on cardiovascular disease is unclear, but there is evidence that it lowers serum concentrations of fibrinogen as well as both total and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol without increasing high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol.
4.1.26 The MORE study shows that raloxifene protects against breast cancer, with the RR at 4 years for all types of breast cancer reported as 0.38 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.58), and that for invasive breast cancer as 0.28 (95% CI 0.17 to 0.46).
  Strontium ranelate
4.1.27 Three RCTs of strontium ranelate in postmenopausal women were identified: one study in women with osteoporosis and two in women with osteoporosis or established osteoporosis. All three studies compared strontium ranelate with placebo, and provided calcium and vitamin D supplementation to ensure an adequate intake.
4.1.28 The Assessment Group reported the results of a published meta-analysis that gave an RR for vertebral fracture of 0.60 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.69, two RCTs, n = 6551) and an RR for all non-vertebral fractures (including wrist fracture) of 0.84 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.97, two RCTs, n = 6551). Hip-fracture efficacy was established in one study; the RR for hip fracture in the whole study population was 0.85 (95% CI 0.61 to 1.19, one RCT, n = 4932). A post-hoc subgroup analysis in women over 74 years of age with a T-score of -2.4 SD resulted in an RR for hip fracture of 0.64 (95% CI 0.41 to 0.98, one RCT, n = 1977).
4.1.29 In general, strontium ranelate was not associated with an increased risk of adverse effects and for the most part adverse effects were mild and transient; nausea, diarrhoea and creatine kinase elevations were the most commonly reported. A serious adverse event associated with strontium ranelate therapy was an increased incidence (RR = 1.42) of VTE and pulmonary embolism. This finding is being investigated further with the extension of ongoing studies and by post-marketing surveillance.
4.1.30 One study published results on health-related quality of life. It reported that strontium ranelate had quality of life benefits compared with placebo, as assessed by the QUALIOST osteoporosis-specific questionnaire and by the general health perception score of the short form (SF)-36 general scale.

Persistence and compliance

  Bisphosphonates
4.1.31 Data from 14 RCTs indicated that between 81% and 100% of patients persisted with bisphosphonates in the first year of treatment, with lower rates of persistence of between 51% and 89% in the third year of treatment (eight RCTs).
4.1.32 A prescription event-monitoring study of patients for whom alendronate was prescribed (n = 11,916) by GPs in England indicated that 24% discontinued therapy within 1 year. In a similar study of patients for whom risedronate was prescribed (n = 11,742) in primary care in England, 30% appeared to have discontinued therapy within 6 months. In another 12 studies reviewed, persistence at 1 year ranged from 16% to 90%.
  Raloxifene
4.1.33 US-based paid claims data suggested that only 18% of women starting raloxifene therapy continued to take their medication uninterrupted, and an investigation of a pharmacy prescription database indicated that only 44% were continuing therapy at the end of year 2.
  Strontium ranelate
4.1.34 Compliance data were reported for two RCTs of strontium ranelate and were similar in the strontium ranelate and placebo arms (ranging from 83% to 93%).

Acid-suppressive medication and fracture risk

4.1.35 Evidence from two cohort and two case-control studies suggested that fracture risk at some fracture sites may be increased in women taking acid-suppressive medication (proton pump inhibitors or histamine 2 receptor antagonists). One large cohort study using the UK General Practice Research Database (GPRD) compared women taking acid-suppressive medication together with bisphosphonates with those taking bisphosphonates alone. This GPRD study reported an increase in fracture risk for some fracture sites with concomitant use of acid-suppressive medication and bisphosphonates, but a reduction in risk for other fracture sites. The information on patients included in this GPRD study was incomplete and adjustments for confounders were not reported. The two cohort studies were not fully published, and their design appears to be prone to confounding.
4.2 Cost effectiveness
  Manufacturers' models
4.2.1 For proprietary alendronate, compared with no treatment, the manufacturer's model provided an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £8622 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for 70-year-old women with a T-score below -2.5 SD. The manufacturer's results were more favourable than the Assessment Group's 2003 model. This could be because the manufacturer's model was not adjusted for baseline fracture prevalence, or because it used different utilities for vertebral fractures, different efficacy data, different risk groups and a longer time horizon.
4.2.2 For etidronate, compared with no treatment, the manufacturer's model provided an ICER of £18,634 per QALY for 70-year-old women with a T-score below -2.5 SD. The manufacturer's model included morphometric vertebral fractures and corticosteroid use as risk factors for further fractures. It is unclear whether the manufacturer's ICER was for women with or without a prior osteoporotic fragility fracture.
4.2.3 For risedronate, compared with no treatment, the manufacturer provided data from two models. The ICER derived from the manufacturer's own model was £577 per QALY for women aged 74 years. In the second model provided by the manufacturer, which was commissioned from an external body, the ICER was more than £35,000 per QALY for all women without fragility fracture and with a T-score of -2.5 SD. However, for women at slightly higher risk of fracture and aged 70 years or older, the corresponding ICER was £13,500 per QALY or less. The ICER calculated by the manufacturer's own model was difficult to verify from the information given. The ICERs generated by the second model are more consistent with the figures provided by the Assessment Group's 2003 model, although they do differ somewhat. This may be because of different cost and RR inputs.
4.2.4 For raloxifene, compared with no treatment, the manufacturer provided data for different age groups and different risk levels. All of the analyses included the breast cancer benefits. It was not clear how the different risk levels were defined. The ICERs ranged from £12,000 to £22,000 per QALY, and were more favourable than the Assessment Group's 2003 analysis, even when the Assessment Group included the breast cancer benefits. In the Assessment Group's 2003 model, the RR for the breast cancer effect was higher (0.38) than the RR of invasive breast cancer used in the manufacturer's model (0.28), and the breast cancer risk was adjusted for the association between low BMD and decreased risk of breast cancer. Additionally, the manufacturer's model was not adjusted for baseline fracture prevalence, and included different utilities for vertebral fractures, different efficacy data, different risk groups, and a longer time horizon than the Assessment Group's model.
4.2.5 For strontium ranelate, compared with no treatment, the manufacturer provided a model developed by an external organisation. The ICER was £45,028 per QALY for 65-year-old women with a T-score of -2.5 SD and £26,686 per QALY for 80-year-old women with a T-score of -2.5 SD. The manufacturer's results were more favourable than the Assessment Group's 2005 results because different modelling assumptions were used. For example, fewer health-state transition possibilities were incorporated. Compared with the Assessment Group's model, the manufacturer's model used more favourable hip-fracture efficacy data from a subgroup of patients aged over 74 years, and slightly more favourable efficacy data for wrist and proximal humerus fracture. Higher hip-fracture costs were used in the manufacturer's model.
 
The Assessment Group's model
4.2.6 The Assessment Group provided a cost-utility model with two components. As a first step the model calculated absolute fracture risk from the epidemiological literature on a number of clinical risk factors. These data were prepared under the auspices of the WHO and were provided for this appraisal under an academic-in-confidence agreement. As a second step, the model applied RR reductions for fracture taken from the meta-analysis described in section 4.1.22. A single estimate of efficacy was used for alendronate and risedronate based on pooled data for these two drugs. Following advice from the osteoporosis Guideline Development Group, it was assumed that RRs remain constant across all ages, T-scores and fracture status. The most recent analyses carried out by ScHARR were based on the price of non-proprietary alendronate in February 2008 (£53.56 per year for once-weekly 70 mg tablets; £108.20 per year for daily 10 mg tablets).
4.2.7 All osteoporotic fractures in women aged 50 years or older were included in the modelling. The RR for hip fracture was assumed to apply also to pelvis and other femoral fractures. The RR for non-vertebral fracture was assumed to apply also to proximal humerus, rib, sternum, scapula, tibia, fibula and wrist fractures. Where confidence intervals for RRs spanned unity, it was assumed that there was no effect of treatment, except in the case of strontium ranelate in a subgroup of older women. In this case, an RR of 0.85 for hip fracture was used to acknowledge an effect reported in a subgroup of the study. The model used UK-specific epidemiological data on femoral neck BMD.
4.2.8 The model assumed an initial utility in the year of fracture and a higher utility in subsequent years. The time horizon was 10 years, consisting of 5 years of treatment with sustained efficacy plus 5 years of linear decline to no effect. In the base case, vertebral-fracture utility was assumed to be lower than hip-fracture utility. The percentage of women that are assumed to move from community living to a nursing home following a hip fracture increased with increasing age. An age-dependent gradient of hip-fracture risk was used, and an association between vertebral or proximal humerus fracture and increased mortality in women with osteoporosis was included. No follow-up BMD scans were included in the model: this reflects current clinical practice in the UK.
4.2.9 The model included an assumption about the costs and disutility associated with treatment-related side effects for all drugs, based on the findings of prescription event-monitoring studies in patients treated with alendronate. For the base case, the model assumed 50% persistence with therapy. In addition to the base case, the Assessment Group undertook a number of sensitivity analyses using alternative assumptions, including: persistence with therapy; reduction of the efficacy of the drugs at reducing the risk of fracture associated with risk factors other than age, prior fracture and low BMD to 0% or 50% (with a consequent upward adjustment of the RR for the risk factors of age, prior fracture and low BMD); disutility of vertebral fracture; updated fracture costs; and the disutility and costs of treatment-related side effects. It was assumed that women who experience bisphosphonate-related side effects had 91% of the utility of women who do not have such side effects. In the base case this was applied to 2.35% of patients in the first treatment month and 0.35% of patients thereafter. In the case of strontium ranelate, the effect on VTE was not included in the model. Discount rates of 6% per year for costs and 1.5% per year for health benefits were applied, in accordance with NICE methods relevant for this appraisal.
4.2.10 For raloxifene, 4-year follow-up data from the MORE study were used, and it was assumed that women with low BMD have a lower breast cancer risk than women with normal BMD. The cost effectiveness was modelled excluding the breast cancer benefit, the risk of VTE and the effect on cardiovascular events.
4.2.11 The independent clinical risk factors for fracture used in the model were based on the data prepared under the auspices of the WHO (see 4.2.6) and included body mass index, prior fracture, previous or current use of corticosteroids, parental history of fracture, current smoking, alcohol intake of more than 2 units per day, and rheumatoid arthritis. The study provided prevalence data for the different risk factors, and risk ratios for hip fracture and osteoporotic fracture for each risk factor, including T-score and age. Using these risk ratios, absolute risk of fracture was calculated.
4.2.12 The estimates of cost effectiveness were generated for different levels of absolute risk derived from a large number of combinations of T-scores (in bands 0.5 SD wide), ages and clinical risk factors. For practical reasons relating to the number of potential combinations, single-point RRs of fracture, calculated from the log-normal efficacy distributions, were used in the model. Results were presented for population groups categorised according to age, T-score and number of clinical risk factors.
4.2.13 As women without fracture do not usually present to clinicians, the Assessment Group also estimated the impact that the costs of identifying women at risk would have on the cost effectiveness of the drugs. This required both a calculation of the ICER for treatment, and a calculation of the distribution of risk assessment cost over the population who would benefit from treatment. A net-benefit approach was used to do this. The net-benefit approach is analogous to the more traditional cost per QALY approach, but also requires a value of willingness to pay (WTP) for an additional QALY. For the calculation of the net benefit of an intervention, the WTP is first multiplied by the incremental QALY associated with the intervention, then the incremental cost associated with the intervention is subtracted. For this appraisal, the total net benefit for each age group and DXA scanning approach was calculated by subtracting the cost of DXA scanning from the net benefit of treating all women who can be treated cost effectively.
4.2.14

A stepped net-benefit approach was used to ascertain, in reverse order, the cost effectiveness of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment of women without a prior fracture. A WTP value of £20,000 per QALY was applied in the modelling.

  • Step 1. ICERs for treatment versus no treatment were calculated for each intervention by combining age, T-score and clinical risk factors (see section 4.2.11). The net benefit of treatment per woman was calculated using the following formula:

Net benefit = (£20,000 × incremental QALYs) - incremental costs.
For women for whom the ICER of treatment was more than £20,000 per QALY, the net benefit was set to zero.

  • Step 2. The net benefit per woman was multiplied by the number of women in the population estimated to fall within each combination of age, T-score and clinical risk factor (based on the data used to develop the algorithm prepared for the WHO). The net benefits for each group were then added together to give a total net benefit of treatment for women with no, one, two or three clinical risk factors within each age group.
  • Step 3. The cost of DXA scanning all of the women in each age/clinical risk factor group was subtracted from the net benefit of treatment for that group (calculated as described in step 2). This provides the net benefit of treatment and DXA scanning for the group, assuming that the number of clinical risk factors is known. A positive net benefit indicates that DXA scanning of women in that age/clinical risk factor group and treating those groups of women in whom the ICER of treatment is £20,000 or less provides an ICER of the entire strategy of less than £20,000 per QALY.
  • Step 4. When the resulting values of net benefit of treatment and scanning were negative they were set to zero. For each age group, the total net benefit of scanning and treatment was calculated by adding together the net benefits for each age/clinical risk factor group. The cost of opportunistic assessment for all women in this age group was then subtracted to give the net benefit of risk assessment, scanning and treatment. A positive net benefit indicates an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY for risk assessment, DXA scanning and treating women (at a specific T-score related to the ICER for treatment only) of that particular group. Cost per QALY data were presented for each strategy.
  The Assessment Group's model: results for alendronate
4.2.15 First, the Assessment Group calculated ICERs (cost per QALY gained for alendronate compared with no treatment) without identification costs for all age, T-score and clinical risk factor combinations. The cost per QALY, compared with no treatment, became more favourable with increasing age and number of risk factors, and decreasing T-score (that is, with increasing annual absolute risk of fracture).
4.2.16 Then, the Assessment Group presented the results of the economic analyses in the form of identification and treatment strategies (based on age, T-score and number of clinical risk factors) that resulted in an ICER of £20,000 or less (cost per QALY gained compared with no treatment). The analyses presented included the following assumptions: persistence at 5 years set to 50%; the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risks associated with factors other than age, BMD and prior fracture status set to 0% and alternatively to 50% of that observed for the total population in the trials (with a consequent upward adjustment of the RR associated with age, BMD and prior fracture); costs set to health resource group values including home-help costs; utility multiplier associated with vertebral fracture set to 0.792 in the first year of fracture (as for hip fracture) and 0.909 in subsequent years; costs of bisphosphonate-related gastrointestinal symptoms incurred over 5 years; utility multiplier associated with bisphosphonate-related gastrointestinal symptoms set to 0.91 (included utility losses for non-compliant patients); and alendronate at a cost of £53.56 or £108.20 per year.
4.2.17

For alendronate priced at £53.56 per year (once-weekly treatment), and when assuming that 24% of women in the first treatment month and 3.5% of women thereafter experienced bisphosphonate-related side effects, and assuming that the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risk associated with risk factors other than BMD and prior fracture was 50%, the model produced the following results.

  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women younger than 65 years resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women who are confirmed to have osteoporosis (that is, a T-score of -2.5 SD or below) resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained for all women aged 70 years or older, and for women aged 65-69 years who have an independent clinical risk factor for fracture.
4.2.18

In a sensitivity analysis for alendronate priced at £53.56 per year, acid-suppressive medication was assumed to affect fracture risk. The data inputs for this were taken from one GPRD study (see section 4.1.35) and represent the midpoint values pooled for patients using acid-suppressive medication with adjustment for confounders. This sensitivity analysis produced the following results.

  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women younger than 70 years resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women who are confirmed to have osteoporosis (that is, a T-score of -2.5 SD or below) resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained for all women aged 70 years or older.
4.2.19

For alendronate priced at £108.20 per year (daily treatment), and when assuming that 24% of women in the first treatment month and 3.5% of women thereafter experienced bisphosphonate-related side effects, and that the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risk associated with risk factors other than BMD and prior fracture was 50%, the model produced the following results.

  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women younger than 70 years resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
  • A strategy of risk assessment, DXA scanning and treatment with alendronate in women who are confirmed to have osteoporosis (that is, a T-score of -2.5 SD or below) resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained for all women aged 75 years or older and for women aged 70-74 years who have anindependent clinical risk factor for fracture. For women aged 70-74 years but with no independent clinical risk factor, the T-score needs to be -3 SD or below to give an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY.
  The Assessment Group's model: results for other drugs
4.2.20 Risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate were dominated by alendronate (based on the price of £53.56 per year for alendronate); that is, these three drugs have a higher acquisition cost than alendronate, but are not more efficacious. In previous economic modelling and before the most recent price change for non-proprietary alendronate, etidronate's cost effectiveness was comparable to that of non-proprietary alendronate, but the calculations were based on a weaker clinical evidence base than for alendronate. Therefore the modelling for etidronate was not updated after the most recent price reduction of alendronate.
4.2.21 For risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate, additional analyses were conducted to explore identification and treatment strategies that could be cost effective for these interventions when compared with no intervention. All results showed less favourable cost effectiveness than non-proprietary alendronate. For example, for women aged 65-69 years with an independent clinical risk factor for fracture, the ICER (without considering costs related to risk assessment and DXA scanning) for risedronate and strontium ranelate (each compared with no treatment) would be over £90,000 per QALY gained. For women aged 70-74 years with an independent clinical risk factor for fracture, the ICER for risedronate and strontium ranelate (each compared with no treatment) would be over £45,000 per QALY gained. For these two groups of women, treatment with non-proprietary weekly alendronate including risk assessment and DXA scanning costs resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QLAY gained.
  The Assessment Group's model: results for other drugs in second-line use
4.2.22 Further analyses were carried out assuming second-line use; that is, costs for risk assessment or DXA scanning are excluded because BMD is assumed to be known from the first-line management.
4.2.23

For risedronate in second-line use, when assuming that 24% of women in the first treatment month and 3.5% of women thereafter experienced bisphosphonate-related side effects, and that the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risk associated with risk factors other than BMD and prior fracture was 50%, the model produced the following results.

  • Treatment with risedronate in women younger than 65 years resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
  • Treatment with risedronate in women who have T-scores, age and independent clinical risk factor characteristics as indicated in the table below resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained. Inclusion of women aged 65-69 years who have no independent clinical risk factor for fracture would increase the ICER to more than £20,000 per QALY gained.

T-scores (SD) at (or below) which risedronate in second-line use resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained

  Number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture
(section 1.5)
Age (years) 0 1 2
65-69 - -3.5 -3.5
70-74 -3.5 -3.5 -3.0
75 or older -3.5 -3.0 -2.5
4.2.24 In the economic modelling carried out for this appraisal in 2006, lower ages and higher T-scores resulted in ICERs less than £20,000 per QALY for etidronate compared with risedronate; that is, etidronate was more cost effective than risedronate. Because of the concerns expressed about the weaker clinical evidence base for etidronate, the modelling for this bisphosphonate was not updated.
4.2.25

For raloxifene, when assuming that the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risk associated with risk factors other than BMD and prior fracture was 50%, the model produced the following results.

  • Treatment with raloxifene in women of any age resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
4.2.26

For strontium ranelate, when assuming that the efficacy of bisphosphonates on fracture risk associated with risk factors other than BMD and prior fracture was 50%, the model produced the following results.

  • Treatment with strontium ranelate in women younger than 65 years resulted in an ICER of more than £20,000 per QALY gained.
  • Treatment with strontium ranelate in women who have T-scores, age and independent clinical risk factor characteristics as indicated in the table below resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained. Inclusion of women aged 65-69 years who have no independent clinical risk factor for fracture would increase the ICER to more than £20,000 per QALY gained.

T-scores (SD) at (or below) which strontium ranelate in second-line use resulted in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained

  Number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture (section 1.5)
Age (years) 0 1 2
65-69 - -4.5 -3.5
70-74 -4.5 -4.0 -3.5
75 or older -4.0 -4.0 -3.0
4.3 Consideration of the evidence
4.3.1 The Appraisal Committee reviewed the data available on the clinical and cost effectiveness of alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate, having considered evidence on the nature of the condition and the value placed on the benefits of these drugs by women with osteoporosis, those who represent them, and clinical specialists. It also considered the consultation comments received in response to the previous appraisal consultation documents, the extra analysis undertaken by ScHARR in November 2006 and February 2008, and comments received from consultees and commentators after the appeal. It was mindful of the need to take account of the effective use of NHS resources. The Committee was aware of a previous decision of the National Screening Committee not to recommend screening to prevent osteoporotic fracture because of concerns about the accuracy of BMD assessment for the prediction of fracture and because there was no trial evidence indicating that such screening would reduce the incidence of fractures.
4.3.2 The Committee considered the clinical effectiveness data for the bisphosphonates (alendronate, etidronate and risedronate), strontium ranelate and raloxifene. It noted that all these drugs have proven efficacy in reducing the incidence of vertebral fragility fractures in women with osteoporosis, but that there were differences between the drugs in the degree of certainty that treatment results in a reduction in hip fracture (considered a crucial goal in osteoporosis management). In the case of alendronate and risedronate, the Committee accepted that there was sufficiently robust evidence to suggest a reduction in hip-fracture risk. The Committee noted that the available RCTs for etidronate were of insufficient size to show statistically significant reductions in hip-fracture risk, but that observational data lent support to a reduction in hip-fracture risk.
4.3.3 The Committee noted that strontium ranelate was effective in preventing vertebral and pooled non-vertebral fractures, and the drug resulted in a non-significant 15% reduction in hip-fracture risk. The Committee was also aware of the result of a post-hoc subgroup analysis showing a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of hip fractures in women over the age of 74 years who had a T-score of -2.4 SD or below.
4.3.4 The Committee noted that the evidence for raloxifene showed an effect on vertebral fractures, but did not show an effect on hip fractures. In addition, there was evidence for a beneficial side effect of raloxifene on the incidence of breast cancer.
4.3.5 The Committee did not consider it appropriate to make recommendations for the treatment of women on long-term corticosteroid therapy because this patient group is at greatly increased risk of fracture and therefore requires special consideration. The Committee was aware that for women without prior fracture but on corticosteroid therapy, the fracture risk is as high as, or even higher than, the fracture risk for women with a prior fracture. The Appraisal Committee therefore felt that it would be disadvantageous for this patient group to be included in the current guidance. Recommendations for this group of women will be made in the NICE clinical guideline on osteoporosis that is currently in development.
4.3.6 Recommendations for the treatment of women with osteopenia were not made, for two reasons. Firstly, it was agreed after the scope was issued in 2002 that the outcome in this appraisal should be the 'prevention of osteoporotic fractures', and this has been understood by the Committee to be a fragility fracture experienced by women with osteoporosis, not osteopenia. Secondly, not all of the drugs under appraisal are licensed for women with osteopenia. Recommendations for this group of women will be made in the NICE clinical guideline on osteoporosis that is currently in development.

Cost-effectiveness modelling

4.3.7 Because women who have not had a fracture would not normally present to clinicians, the Committee considered it necessary to consider the cost involved in the assessment of fracture risk and DXA scanning in its appraisal of the drugs for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fractures.
4.3.8 The Committee acknowledged the efforts of the Assessment Group to build on the model used previously, particularly in using epidemiological data and a fracture risk algorithm developed under the auspices of the WHO to calculate transition probabilities and to model the identification approaches. The Committee noted that fracture risk is clearly related to age, low BMD and prior fracture. The Committee accepted that most of the risk factors listed in section 4.2.11 are likely to be associated with an increased fracture risk. The Committee was not persuaded that 'current smoking' is a statistically significant risk factor in women, but noted that alcohol consumption is a statistically significant risk factor at 4 or more units per day. However, even for the statistically significant risk factors, the Committee was concerned that there was not sufficient evidence for a proven treatment effect on fracture risk related to risk factors other than low BMD, age and prior fracture.
4.3.9 With these caveats in mind, the Committee concluded that the Assessment Group's model was a useful basis for exploring the estimates of cost effectiveness; the model used data for a wide age range (age 50-75 years and older) and all osteoporotic fracture sites. Although the Assessment Group's model considered a shorter time period (10 years) than the manufacturers' models, the Committee thought that this was appropriate considering the age groups involved and the uncertainties around health effects over a longer period.
4.3.10 The Committee discussed the assumptions underpinning the economic modelling undertaken by the Assessment Group. It noted that the most recent modelling explored some of the uncertainties identified by the Committee surrounding the results of the previous modelling; these related to the costs and disutility associated with treatment-related side effects and to non-persistence with treatment in a proportion of patients. The Committee also noted the effect of the recent price reductions for non-proprietary alendronate (70-mg weekly and 10-mg daily doses) on the cost effectiveness of the drug.
4.3.11 The Committee considered the base-case assumptions and those used in additional analyses. The Committee noted that the fracture costs used in the base-case analysis were those used in the original assessment report developed in 2003 and considered that these were likely to be outdated. The Committee agreed that costs based on health resource groups, including home-help costs, were likely to provide the most accurate reflection of the cost of fractures to the NHS and personal social services, and it decided to incorporate these costs into the base-case analysis.
4.3.12 The Committee considered the utility multiplier used in the base-case analysis for the first year after a vertebral fracture and noted that it was based on a hospitalised patient group and not on a typical group of vertebral fracture patients. Consequently it was considerably lower than the utility value modelled for a hip fracture. Although the Committee acknowledged that vertebral fracture can lead to greatly reduced quality of life, it considered that its true value would not greatly outweigh the utility decrement associated with a hip fracture. Therefore, the Committee considered it reasonable to assume that the disutility in the first year after a vertebral fracture was equivalent to the disutility in the first year after a hip fracture and decided to include this assumption in the base-case analysis.
4.3.13 The Committee was not persuaded that the drugs under consideration had been unequivocally shown to reduce fracture risk that was attributable to risk factors not mediated through low BMD and age. The Committee concluded that the uncertainty surrounding the efficacy of the drugs on risk factors not mediated through low BMD and age should be factored into its decision-making by using an analysis that assumed 50% efficacy of the drugs on fractures associated with risk factors other than age and low BMD. Although the Committee recognised that 50% was necessarily an arbitrary figure, the use of either 0% or 100% were both considered extreme and less plausible. In the analysis accepted by the Committee, the assumption of 50% efficacy of the drugs on fracture risk associated with other risk factors was adjusted by using a correspondingly greater efficacy of the drugs on fractures associated with the key risk factors (age, BMD and prior fracture).
4.3.14 The Committee considered the assumptions used in the modelling for the side effects of bisphosphonates, in which women who experience bisphosphonate-related side effects had 91% of the utility of women who did not have such side effects. In the base case this was applied to 2.35% of patients in the first treatment month and 0.35% of patients thereafter. Taking into account the persistence data (sections 4.1.31 and 4.1.32) and the comments received from consultees and commentators that about 25-30% of women taking bisphosphonates experience gastrointestinal side effects, the Committee agreed that it was important to consider results of a sensitivity analysis assuming that 24% of women were experiencing bisphosphonate-related side effects in the first treatment month and 3.5% of women thereafter.
4.3.15 The Committee acknowledged that the modelling of the identification strategies made assumptions necessary about the value of a QALY gained that could be considered an acceptable use of NHS resources. The Committee acknowledged this to be £20,000, as modelled, because there were no additional factors, as referred to in the 'Guide to the methods of technology appraisal' (see www.nice.org.uk), that could be considered to increase this value in this situation: that is, in primary prevention where an asymptomatic group of adult patients with a high number needed to treat to avoid a fracture is under consideration.
4.3.16 The Committee discussed a number of concerns surrounding other issues that were not represented in the model but may have had an impact on the cost-effectiveness estimates. These included: possible long-term adverse effects of bisphosphonates on the formation of new bone; the probability that more GP time would be involved in identifying women with risk factors associated with osteoporosis; the likelihood that DXA scanning outside a clinical trial environment would not be as effective as in the clinical trials; and the possibility that the proportion of women who experience side effects may exceed the model's base-case assumptions. Finally, the Committee noted that current discount rates used by the Treasury, the Department of Health and NICE result in a cost-effectiveness calculation less favourable to the drugs than the discount rates used in the analysis considered by the Committee. Although a quantitative analysis of the uncertainties surrounding all these issues was not available, the Committee agreed that these uncertainties could be collectively approximated through the sensitivity analysis for side effects (see section 4.3.14).
  Alendronate
4.3.17 The Committee considered the results of the economic model following the price reduction for non-proprietary alendronate, the newly included assumptions and the sensitivity analyses (see sections 4.3.8 to 4.3.14). The Committee agreed that the sensitivity analysis that captured the uncertainties in the economic model (see section 4.3.14) was the most appropriate. This led the Committee to conclude that alendronate (based on the price of £53.56 per year for once-weekly treatment) would be an appropriate use of NHS resources for the treatment of postmenopausal women with osteoporosis (T-score of -2.5 SD or below) who are aged 65 years or older and who have at least one independent clinical risk factor for fracture. The Committee also concluded that, in addition, women aged 70 years and older could be considered for DXA scanning if there was an indication that they might have low BMD, and treated with alendronate if osteoporosis is confirmed. The Committee's reason for restricting DXA scanning for women aged 70 or older (who visit their GP for any reason) to those with indicators of low BMD was to avoid unnecessarily scanning many women who are well and asymptomatic and who are relatively unlikely to have a low BMD. The Committee was advised by the clinical specialists from the Guideline Development Group that in women aged 75 years or older with two or more clinical risk factors, a DXA scan may not be required if the clinician considered it to be clinically inappropriate or unfeasible.
4.3.18 Having reviewed the evidence on independent clinical risk factors for fracture and the views of the clinical specialists, the Committee agreed that the appropriate independent clinical risk factors for fracture are: parental history of hip fracture, alcohol intake of 4 or more units per day, and severe long-term rheumatoid arthritis. The Committee also concluded that there are indicators of low BMD, and these are low body mass index (defined as less than 22 kg/m2 and medical conditions such as ankylosing spondylitis, Crohn's disease, conditions that result in prolonged immobility, and untreated premature menopause. The Committee acknowledged that severe long-term rheumatoid arthritis is a condition that indicates low BMD, but it was also proven to be an independent clinical risk factor for fracture. The Committee noted that prior fracture and long-term systemic corticosteroid use are also relevant clinical risk factors; women with prior fracture or who are on long-term systemic corticosteroid therapy will be considered in NICE technology appraisal guidance on the secondary prevention of osteoporosis and the forthcoming NICE clinical guideline on osteoporosis, respectively.
4.3.19 The Committee noted that the prices of the different brands of alendronate vary greatly andconcluded that alendronate should be prescribed on the basis of the lowest acquisition cost available.
4.3.20 The Committee considered postmenopausal women below the age of 65 years for whom opportunistic identification was not normally cost effective. The Committee recognised that a small number of postmenopausal women below the age of 65 years who present to healthcare practitioners with conditions that are indicators of low BMD are at high risk of osteoporotic fracture and would not need opportunistic identification. Therefore the Committee concluded that women under 65 years of age with severe long-term rheumatoid arthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, Crohn's disease or any condition that has resulted in prolonged immobility, provided that they also have an independent clinical risk factor for fracture, should be considered for DXA scanning, and treated with alendronate if osteoporosis is confirmed.
  Considerations for the other drugs under appraisal
4.3.21 The Committee noted that risedronate, etidronate, raloxifene and strontium ranelate were dominated by alendronate (based on the price of £53.56 per year for alendronate); that is, these drugs have a higher acquisition cost than alendronate, but are not more efficacious. The Committee was also aware that, for women for whom weekly non-proprietary alendronate could be recommended based on cost effectiveness, the ICERs for risedronate and strontium ranelate were very high, even without inclusion of identification costs. The Committee did not consider these drugs to be cost effective for first-line treatment for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women.
4.3.22 The Committee considered treatment options available for a woman who is intolerant to alendronate or unable to comply with instructions for administration despite reasonable measures to support continuation of alendronate therapy. The Committee noted that all other treatment options have higher acquisition costs and/or different effectiveness profiles, which would reduce the cost effectiveness of preventive therapy if these drugs were used. The Committee observed that the identification costs associated with finding women who could be cost-effectively treated with one of the other drugs would be negligible, because women suitable to receive it would have already undergone an assessment and had a DXA scan in order to be assessed for first-line treatment with alendronate. Therefore, it agreed that the recommendations for this situation should be based on the modelling excluding identification costs.
4.3.23 The Committee considered women who cannot take alendronate because of a contraindication or a disability that prevents them from complying with the instructions for administration. Because such a contraindication or disability would be known before the risk assessment, this would comprise a first-line treatment situation, where identification costs are included. Alternative drugs become cost effective at a higher age and lower BMD in a first-line treatment situation, compared with a second-line treatment situation where identification costs are not included. However, such an approach was considered inappropriate by the Committee because it would unfairly disadvantage women who cannot take alendronate because of a contraindication or a disability. Therefore the Committee concluded that women who cannot take alendronate for these reasons should have access to alternative drugs in the same way as women who cannot tolerate alendronate (second-line treatment). The Committee concluded that, for women with disabilities that make it difficult to comply with the instructions for administration of alendronate, reasonable measures should be put in place to provide additional support and assistance, where needed, to maximise the opportunity to receive alendronate.
  Risedronate
4.3.24 The Committee concluded that risedronate could be recommended for women who have a contraindication to, or are intolerant of alendronate, or are unable to comply with special instructions for the administration of alendronate at T-score, age and number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture where treatment with risedronate resulted in an ICER below £20,000 without the consideration of identification costs, as outlined in section 4.2.23.
  Etidronate
4.3.25 The Committee considered the cost effectiveness of etidronate, and noted that in previous modelling etidronate had a better cost-effectiveness profile than risedronate; since then there has been no change in the evidence base that would affect the relative position of these two drugs. In view of its concerns surrounding the clinical evidence base for etidronate, and taking into account the views of clinical specialists and consultees, the Committee decided that etidronate should not be recommended in preference to risedronate. However, the Committee agreed that guidance on the use of etidronate should be included in the recommendations, and concluded that etidronate can be recommended as an alternative treatment option for women who cannot take alendronate, as outlined for risedronate in section 4.3.24. In deciding between risedronate and etidronate, clinicians and patients need to balance the drugs' overall effectiveness profile against tolerability and adverse effects in individual patients.
  Strontium ranelate
4.3.26 The Committee did not accept the estimate of efficacy for strontium ranelate in preventing hip fracture from the post-hoc subgroup analysis, but it accepted the statistically non-significant RR of 0.85 for hip fracture to acknowledge an effect on this important type of fracture.
4.3.27 The Committee concluded that strontium ranelate can be recommended for women who have a contraindication to, are intolerant of or are unable to comply with the special instructions for the administration of alendronate or risedronate, at T-score, age and number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture where treatment with strontium ranelate resulted in an ICER below £20,000 without the consideration of identification costs as outlined in section 4.2.26.
4.3.28 The Committee agreed a definition of alendronate or risedronate intolerance as: persistent upper gastrointestinal disturbance that is sufficiently severe to warrant discontinuation of treatment with alendronate or risedronate and that occurs even though the instructions for administration have been followed correctly.
  Raloxifine
4.3.29 The Committee discussed the reported benefits of raloxifene on breast cancer risk, and heard from the clinical specialists that the possibility of preventing vertebral fractures and breast cancer simultaneously could be attractive, particularly to younger postmenopausal women. The Committee also heard from the specialists that evidence on the effect of raloxifene in reducing cardiovascular risk is not considered to be robust and that there is some concern over the increased risk of VTE (see section 4.1.25).
4.3.30

The Committee noted that a higher proportion of the overall benefit associated with raloxifene was attributable to its effect on the prevention of breast cancer than to its effect on the prevention of osteoporotic fractures. The Committee agreed that, in principle, the side effects of using a drug should be considered; however there were a number of reasons why the Committee considered that the breast cancer benefit should not be the sole factor in deciding whether raloxifene is a cost-effective option for the initiation of treatment for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures as follows:

  • From the evidence presented, raloxifene was not as effective as the bisphosphonates for treating osteoporosis.
  • Raloxifene's effect on the prevention of breast cancer has not been assessed by the regulatory authorities.
  • Full assessment of raloxifene's effect on the prevention of breast cancer and its cost effectiveness in this indication would require consideration of how it compares with other drugs that could potentially be used for breast cancer prevention.
4.3.31 The Committee noted that treatment with raloxifene did not result in an ICER of less than £20,000 per QALY gained in any age group, even when identification costs were excluded from the modelling. Therefore, the Committee did not consider raloxifene to be a cost-effective use of NHS resources for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women.

Other considerations

4.3.32 The Committee was aware that an internet-based tool to calculate a 10-year absolute risk of fracture, named FRAX, is now available. This assessment tool has been constructed based on the epidemiological data collected under the auspices of the WHO, and a publication on this tool was in preparation. The Committee did not have access to the algorithms underlying the tool. Furthermore, the Committee was aware that absolute fracture risk does not provide a single measure of cost effectiveness, as outlined in the assessment report issued in 2005. This is because absolute fracture risk is the total for all fracture sites, but different fracture sites have different impacts on quality of life, costs and mortality. Therefore cost effectiveness is dependent on the contribution from each fracture site to the total fracture risk. Furthermore, the Committee had agreed that treatment benefit had not been proven for fracture risk associated with risk factors other than age, T-score and prior fracture (section 4.3.8). Therefore, the Committee concluded that FRAX is less applicable to this appraisal than the approach adopted of using T-scores by age and number of independent clinical risk factors for fracture.
4.3.33 The Committee was made aware of data indicating that acid-suppressive medication leads to a small increase in fracture risk and that co-administration of acid-suppressive medication and bisphosphonates may lead to an increased fracture risk compared with bisphosphonate administration alone. The Committee noted that the data are observational and tentative, and different for different fracture sites and for different acid suppressors. However, because the various studies show a trend, the Committee considered that caution should be exercised when considering the co-prescription of acid-suppressive medication and bisphosphonates. The Committee noted an analysis that included the increase in fracture risk for the proportion of women for whom acid-suppressive medication may be co-prescribed. This analysis did not decrease the T-scores for alendronate to the T-scores established for strategies including strontium ranelate. The Committee was therefore not persuaded by the evidence that a change to its recommendations, based on this evidence, was necessary.

Calcium and vitamin D prerequisites for treatment

4.3.34 The Committee discussed the effect of calcium and vitamin D on the clinical effectiveness of the drugs considered. In the studies that formed the basis of this guidance, all participants were said to have adequate calcium and vitamin D levels. The Committee appreciated that the general population, particularly the elderly population, cannot be assumed to have an adequate dietary intake of calcium and vitamin D. It was also considered important to note that adequate levels (normal serum concentrations) of calcium and vitamin D are needed to ensure optimum effects of the treatments for osteoporosis. The Committee concluded that calcium and/or vitamin D supplementation should be provided unless clinicians are confident that women who receive treatment for osteoporosis have an adequate calcium intake and are vitamin D replete. The Committee suggested that the forthcoming NICE clinical guideline on osteoporosis could specify how such assessments should be made and what supplementation should be prescribed.

 

5 Implementation

5.1 The Healthcare Commission assesses the performance of NHS organisations in meeting core and developmental standards set by the Department of Health in 'Standards for better health' issued in July 2004. The Secretary of State has directed that the NHS provides funding and resources for medicines and treatments that have been recommended by NICE technology appraisals normally within 3 months from the date that NICE publishes the guidance. Core standard C5 states that healthcare organisations should ensure they conform to NICE technology appraisals.
5.2 'Healthcare Standards for Wales' was issued by the Welsh Assembly Government in May 2005 and provides a framework both for self-assessment by healthcare organisations and for external review and investigation by Healthcare Inspectorate Wales. Standard 12a requires healthcare organisations to ensure that patients and service users are provided with effective treatment and care that conforms to NICE technology appraisal guidance. The Assembly Minister for Health and Social Services issued a Direction in October 2003 which requires Local Health Boards and NHS Trusts to make funding available to enable the implementation of NICE technology appraisal guidance, normally within 3 months.
5.3 NICE has developed tools to help organisations implement this guidance (listed below). These are available on our website (www.nice.org.uk/TAXXX). [Note: tools will be available when the final guidance is issued]

 

6 Recommendations for further research

6.1 Given the evidence that the benefits of one of the bisphosphonates (alendronate) may continue for several years after the end of treatment, the Committee recommends that research should be carried out to define the optimal duration of treatment with individual bisphosphonates.
6.2 The Committee recommends research into the long-term effects of bisphosphonates on bone quality, given the inhibitory effects on bone resorption of these drugs.
6.3 There is some evidence that strontium ranelate may interfere with the results of DXA scanning because it has a higher molecular weight than calcium. It may also affect the measurement of calcium levels in the blood or urine. This could have implications in the clinical care setting and further research in this area is recommended.

 

7 Related NICE guidance

Published

Bisphosphonates (alendronate, etidronate, risedronate), selective oestrogen receptor modulators (raloxifene) and parathyroid hormone (teriparatide) for the secondary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women. NICE technology appraisal guidance 87 (2005). Available from: www.nice.org.uk/TA087

Under development

NICE is developing the following guidance (details available from www.nice.org.uk).

  • Alendronate, etidronate, risedronate, raloxifene, strontium ranelate and teriparatide for the secondary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women. NICE technology appraisal guidance XX. Available from: www.nice.org.uk/TAXXX
  • Osteoporosis: assessment of fracture risk and the prevention of osteoporotic fractures in individuals at high risk. NICE clinical guideline (publication date to be confirmed).

 

8 Proposed date for review of guidance

8.1 The review date for a technology appraisal refers to the month and year in which the Guidance Executive will consider whether the technology should be reviewed. This decision will be taken in the light of information gathered by the Institute, and in consultation with consultees and commentators.
8.2 It is proposed that the guidance on these technologies will be considered for review in July 2010. The Institute would particularly welcome comment on this proposed date.

 

Andrew Stevens
Chair, Appraisal Committee
March 2008

 

Appendix A. Appraisal Committee members, guideline representatives and NICE project team

A. Appraisal Committee members

The Appraisal Committee is a standing advisory committee of the Institute. Its members are appointed for a 3-year term. A list of the Committee members who took part in the discussions for this appraisal appears below. The Appraisal Committee meets three times a month except in December, when there are no meetings. The Committee membership is split into three branches, each with a chair and vice-chair. Each branch considers its own list of technologies and ongoing topics are not moved between the branches.

Committee members are asked to declare any interests in the technology to be appraised. If it is considered there is a conflict of interest, the member is excluded from participating further in that appraisal.

The minutes of each Appraisal Committee meeting, which include the names of the members who attended and their declarations of interests, are posted on the NICE website.

Professor Keith Abrams (2006-2008)
Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Leicester

Ms Julie Acred (2004-2005)
Chief Executive, Derby Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust

Dr Ray Armstrong (2008)
Consultant Rheumatologist, Southampton General Hospital

Dr Jeff Aronson (2006-2008)
Reader in Clinical Pharmacology, University Department of Primary Health Care, University of Oxford

Dr Darren Ashcroft (2004-2008)
Senior Clinical Lecturer, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Manchester

Professor David Barnett (2004-2008)
Professor of Clinical Pharmacology, University of Leicester

Dr Peter Barry (2004-2008)
Consultant in Paediatric Intensive Care, Leicester Royal Infirmary

Professor Stirling Bryan (2006-2008)
Head, Department of Health Economics, University of Birmingham

Mr Brian Buckley (2004-2006)
Vice Chairman, InContact

Professor John Cairns (2006-2008)
Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Professor David Chadwick (2005-2006)
Professor of Neurology, Walton Centre for Neurology and Neurosurgery

Dr Peter I Clark (2004-2006)
Honorary Chairman, Association of Cancer Physicians

Ms Donna Covey (2004-2005)
Chief Executive, Asthma UK

Dr Mike Davies (2004-2008)
Consultant Physician, University Department of Medicine and Metabolism, Manchester Royal Infirmary

Mr Richard Devereaux-Phillips (2004-2006)
Public Affairs Manager, Medtronic Ltd

Professor Jack Dowie (2004-2008)
Health Economist, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Professor Trisha Greenhalgh (2004-2005)
Professor of Primary Health Care, University College London

Lynn Field (2006-2008)
Nurse Director, Pan Birmingham Cancer Network

Professor Gary A. Ford (2004-2005)
Professor of Pharmacology of Old Age/Consultant Physician, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle upon Tyne

Professor Christopher Fowler (2006-2008)
Professor of Surgical Education, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary, University of London

Dr Fergus Gleeson (2004-2008)
Consultant Radiologist, Churchill Hospital, Oxford

Ms Sally Gooch (2004-2008)
Independent Nursing and Healthcare Consultant

Mrs Barbara Greggains (2006-2008)
Lay Member

Mr Sanjay Gupta (2005-2008)
Former Service Manager in Stroke, Gastroenterology, Diabetes and Endocrinology, Basildon and Thurrock University Hospitals Foundation NHS Trust

Ms Linda Hands (2004-2005)
Consultant Vascular Surgeon, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford

Professor Philip Home (2005-2006)
Professor of Diabetes Medicine, Universities of Newcastle upon Tyne

Dr Peter Jackson (2005-2006)
Clinical Pharmacologist, University of Sheffield

Professor Peter Jones (2004-2006)
Professor of Statistics & Dean Faculty of Natural Science, Keele University

Professor Robert Kerwin (2004-2005)
Professor of Psychiatry and Clinical Pharmacology, Institute of Psychiatry, London

Dr Mike Laker (2005-2007)
Medical Director, Newcastle Hospitals NHS Trust

Ms Joy Leavesley (2004)
Senior Clinical Governance Manager, Whittington Hospital

Dr Ruth Lesirge (2004)
Lay Member

Ms Rachel Lewis (2004-2006)
Nurse Advisor to the Department of Health

Mr Terence Lewis (2006-2008)
Lay Member

Dr George Levvy (2005-2006)
Lay Member

Professor Gary McVeigh (2006-2008)
Professor of Cardiovascular Medicine, Queens University, Belfast

Professor Jonathan Michaels (2004-2006)
Professor of Vascular Surgery, University of Sheffield

Dr Ruairidh Milne (2004-2008)
Senior Lecturer in Health Technology Assessment, National Coordinating Centre for Health Technology, University of Southampton

Dr Neil Milner (2004-2008)
General Medical Practitioner, Tramways Medical Centre, Sheffield

Dr Rubin Minhas (2004-2008)
General Practitioner, CHD Clinical Lead, Medway PCT

Dr John Pounsford (2006-2008)
Consultant Physician, Frenchay Hospital, Bristol

Dr Rosalind Ramsay (2006-2008)
Consultant Psychiatrist, Adult Mental Health Services, Maudsley Hospital, London

Dr Christa Roberts (2006-2008)
UK Country Manager, Abbott Vascular

Dr Stephen Saltissi (2006-2008)
Consultant Cardiologist, Royal Liverpool University Hospital

Mr Miles Scott (2004-2006)
Chief Executive, Bradford Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust

Dr Lindsay Smith (2005-2008)
General Practitioner, East Somerset Research Consortium

Mr Roderick Smith (2006-2008)
Finance Director. West Kent PCT

Mr Cliff Snelling (2006-2008)
Lay Member

Mr Malcolm Stamp (2004)
Chief Executive, Addenbrooke's NHS Trust

Professor Ken Stein (2004-2008)
Professor of Public Health, Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter

Professor Andrew Stevens (Chair) (2004-2008)
Professor of Public Health, University of Birmingham

Dr Rod Taylor (2006-2008)
Associate Professor in Health Services Research, Peninsula Medical School, Universities of Exeter & Plymouth

 

B. Guideline representatives

The following individuals, representing the Guideline Development Group responsible for developing the Institute's clinical guideline related to this topic, were invited to attend the meeting to observe and to contribute as advisers to the Committee.

Professor Cameron G Swift (2008)
King's College London School of Medicine Clinical Age Research Unit, King's College Hospital, London

Dr Maggie Westby (2008)
Senior Research and Development Fellow, National Collaborating Centre for Nursing and Supportive Care, Royal College of Nursing, Oxford

Professor Juliet Compston (2005-2007)
Professor of Bone Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine and Addenbrooke's NHS Trust

Dr Peter Selby (2005-2007)
Consultant Physician, Central Manchester and Manchester Children's University Hospitals NHS Trust

Professor David Barlow (2005-2007)
Executive Dean of Medicine, University of Glasgow

 

C. NICE project team

Each technology appraisal is assigned to a team consisting of one or more health technology analysts (who act as technical leads for the appraisal), a technical adviser and a project manager.

Dr Ruaraidh Hill and Emma Pugh

Technical Leads

Dr Elisabeth George
Technical Adviser

Natalie Bemrose
Project Manager

 

Appendix B. Sources of evidence considered by the Committee

A

Extra analysis reports were prepared by the Decision Support Unit, The University of Sheffield, School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).

  • Stevenson M. Analyses of cost-effective BMD scanning and treatment strategies for generic alendronate, and the cost-effectiveness of risedronate and strontium ranelate in those people who would be treated with generic alendronate. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR). February 2008
  • Lloyd Jones M. Critique of evidence put forward by Servier suggesting an association between acid-suppressive medication and fracture risk. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR). February 2008
B

The assessment reports for this appraisal were prepared by The University of Sheffield, School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).

  • Stevenson M (2006). Analyses of cost-effectiveness incorporating alendronate price reduction. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
  • Stevenson M, Lloyd Jones M, Davis S et al (2006) Analyses of the cost-effectiveness of pooled alendronate and risedronate, compared with strontium ranelate, raloxifene, etidronate and teriparatide. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
  • Lloyd Jones M and Wilkinson A (2006) Adverse effects and persistence with therapy in patients taking oral alendronate, etidronate or risedronate: systematic reviews. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
  • Stevenson M, Davis S, Lloyd Jones M and Beverley C (2005). Strontium ranelate for the prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
  • Stevenson M, Davis S (2005). Addendum to the Assessment Report: The clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of technologies for the primary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women. Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
  • Stevenson M, Davis S (2005). Addendum to the Assessment Report: Analyses of the cost-effectiveness of pooled alendronate and risedronate, compared with strontium ranelate, raloxifene, etidronate and teriparatide Sheffield: School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR).
C

The following organisations accepted the invitation to participate in this appraisal. They were invited to comment on the draft scope, assessment report. and the appraisal consultation document (ACD). Organisations listed in I and II were also invited to make written submissions and have the opportunity to appeal against the final appraisal determination.

I Manufacturers/sponsors:

  • Alliance for Better Bone Health
  • Eli Lilly & Company
  • Merck Sharp & Dohme
  • Proctor & Gamble Pharmaceuticals
  • Servier
  • TEVA

II Professional/specialist and patient/carer groups:

  • Arthritis and Musculoskeletal Alliance
  • Bone and Tooth Society
  • British Geriatrics Society
  • British Menopause Society
  • British Orthopaedic Association
  • British Society for Rheumatology
  • Department of Health
  • Institute for Ageing and Health
  • National Osteoporosis Society
  • National Rheumatoid Arthritis Society
  • Primary Care Rheumatology Society
  • RADAR (The Royal Association for Disability and Rehabilitation)
  • Royal College of General Practitioners
  • Royal College of Nursing
  • Royal College of Pathologists
  • Royal College of Physicians
  • Society for Endocrinology
  • Southwark Primary Care Trust
  • The Society and The College of Radiographers
  • Women's Health
  • Women's Health Concern
  • Women's Nutritional Advisory Service

IIII Commentator organisations (without the right of appeal):

  • British National Formulary
  • National Collaborating Centre for Nursing and Supportive Care
  • NHS Quality Improvement Scotland
  • Novartis Pharmaceuticals
  • Research Institute for the Care of the Elderly
  • Strakan Group
  • Roche Pharmaceuticals
  • Nycomed UK
  • Welsh Assembly Government
D

The following individuals were selected from clinical specialist and patient advocate nominations from the non-manufacturer/sponsor consultees and commentators. They participated in the Appraisal Committee discussions and provided evidence to inform the Appraisal Committee's deliberations. They gave their expert personal view on technologies for the secondary prevention of osteoporotic fragility fractures in postmenopausal women by attending the initial Committee discussion and/or providing written evidence to the Committee. They are invited to comment on the appraisal consultation document:

  • Mrs Jackie Parrington, Deputy Chief Executive, National Osteoporosis Society - patient expert nominated by the National Osteoporosis Society
  • Mrs Anthea Franks - patient expert nominated by the National Osteoporosis Society
  • Professor Juliet Compston, Professor of Bone Medicine, University of Cambridge School of Clinical Medicine and Addenbrooke's NHS Trust - clinical specialist nominated by the Royal College of Physicians
  • Dr RM Francis, Reader in Medicine (Geriatrics) and Honorary Consultant Physician, British Geriatrics Society - clinical specialist nominated by the British Geriatrics Society and the National Osteoporosis Society
  • Dr Caje Moniz, Consultant and Clinical Director, King's Healthcare NHS Trust - clinical specialist nominated by the National Osteoporosis Society
  • Dr Peter Selby, Consultant Physician, Central Manchester and Manchester Children's University Hospitals NHS Trust - clinical specialist nominated by the Society of Endocrinology and the National Osteoporosis Society

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