The company included treatment-dependent utility values for the pre- and post-progression health states. At the first committee meeting, it preferred to use health-state utility values from MIRASOL in the mirvetuximab arm and from Havrilesky et al. (2009) in the pooled chemotherapy arm. The company said that the utility values from MIRASOL may have overestimated the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of people having chemotherapy. This was because the EQ‑5D questionnaire was only administered at the start of each chemotherapy cycle. So, it may not have captured the impact of the side effects of chemotherapy. In the pre-progression state, the utility value from MIRASOL was 0.737 for mirvetuximab and 0.706 for pooled chemotherapy. The company preferred to use a pre-progression health-state utility value for pooled chemotherapy of 0.500. In the post-progression state, the utility values from MIRASOL were 0.655 for mirvetuximab and 0.625 for pooled chemotherapy. The company preferred to use a post-progression health-state utility value for pooled chemotherapy of 0.400.
The EAG said that the company's approach was not consistent with the NICE reference case. This was because the company's preferred utilities for pooled chemotherapy at the first committee meeting from Havrilesky et al. were based on a time trade-off exercise using vignettes. The EAG noted that section 4.3.4 in NICE's manual on technology appraisal and highly specialised technologies guidance states that the valuation of HRQoL measured by people with the condition should be based on a valuation of public preferences from a representative sample of the UK population. The EAG also noted some inconsistencies in the results from Havrilesky et al. It also thought that the company's approach was implausible and lacked face validity. The EAG thought that the timing of the EQ‑5D measurement in MIRASOL was not a meaningful source of bias. It compared the utilities from MIRASOL with those from the OVA-301 clinical trial (considered in TA389), in which the EQ‑5D was measured at the start and the end of each treatment cycle. The pooled chemotherapy utilities in OVA-301 (0.718 in the pre-progression state and 0.649 in the post-progression state) were similar to those in MIRASOL (0.706 in the pre-progression state and 0.625 in the post-progression state). The EAG concluded that the health-state utility values from MIRASOL showed a difference in HRQoL between the mirvetuximab and chemotherapy arms that was more likely to be plausible than the values in the company's approach. So, the EAG preferred to use the utility values from MIRASOL in its base case.
The patient experts at both the first and second committee meeting emphasised that people having mirvetuximab have a substantially better quality of life compared with people having chemotherapy. One patient expert said that, when they had chemotherapy, they felt tired and low because of the side effects and had to take time off work. But they said that with mirvetuximab they were able to live a relatively normal life and felt significantly less anxious and depressed. The patient experts also said that people have fewer and less-serious side effects with mirvetuximab than with chemotherapy. Respondents to the surveys conducted by patient groups agreed. They explained that people having chemotherapy for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer have a high symptom burden as well as substantial toxicity from chemotherapy treatments. They added that mirvetuximab improves response rates, symptom burden and toxicity allowing people to live more fulfilled, better quality lives than with chemotherapy. Clinical experts at the first committee meeting noted that any ocular side effects of mirvetuximab tended to be resolved quickly. They highlighted that the proportion of people who stopped treatment because of these was small.
The committee agreed with the EAG that the company's preferred source for the utility values in the pooled chemotherapy arm was not consistent with the NICE reference case. It also agreed that the company's approach lacked face validity because of the large difference in the mirvetuximab post-progression utility and the pooled chemotherapy pre-progression utility. The committee highlighted that the MIRASOL utility values were consistent with the utility values used in previous NICE technology appraisals. The EAG provided a scenario analysis that used the pre- and post-progression utility values from TA389 for both treatment arms. The committee noted that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for this scenario was higher than in the EAG base case, which used the MIRASOL utility values. It noted that the MIRASOL utility values suggested a small difference in HRQoL between people having mirvetuximab and people having chemotherapy. But, the committee noted that the difference in HRQoL due to differences in side effects between treatments was accounted for when disutilities associated with adverse events were included, as in the EAG's base case. It thought that the MIRASOL utilities were more methodologically robust than the utilities from Havrilesky et al. for pooled chemotherapy preferred by the company. So, at the first committee meeting, the committee concluded that it was more appropriate to use the MIRASOL health-state utility values in both treatment arms. It also preferred to include the disutilities associated with adverse events to capture the impact of side effects on HRQoL.
In response to the draft guidance consultation, the company accepted the limitations of using Havrilesky et al. utilities for pooled chemotherapy. But it maintained that the utility difference between mirvetuximab and pooled chemotherapy in MIRASOL was not clinically plausible. The company updated the utilities in its model based on results of an updated utility regression analysis of MIRASOL data, which included an interaction term between treatment and progression. In the pre-progression state, the utility value from MIRASOL was 0.732 for mirvetuximab and 0.712 for pooled chemotherapy (compared with 0.737 for mirvetuximab and 0.706 for pooled chemotherapy, without the interaction term). In the post-progression state, the utility values from MIRASOL were 0.675 for mirvetuximab and 0.596 for pooled chemotherapy (compared with 0.655 for mirvetuximab and 0.625 for pooled chemotherapy, without the interaction term). The company stated that the results of this analysis supported the clinical understanding that mirvetuximab provides lasting benefits over chemotherapy even as the disease progresses. The company also provided a scenario based on feedback from a clinical expert. The clinical expert suggested that the utility between the first and second progression for mirvetuximab is expected to be equal to the pre-progression utility for chemotherapy in MIRASOL. This is because people who have progressed after mirvetuximab would have the same chemotherapy treatments for their next treatment line as people having comparator chemotherapy. In its review of the company's draft guidance response, the EAG recalled the results of the company's original utility regression analysis. It noted that this did not include a treatment interaction effect and produced a small difference of around 0.03 between treatment arms, both pre- and post-progression. The EAG added that the company's updated utility regression analysis, including the treatment interaction effect, resulted in a smaller difference of around 0.02 pre-progression and a much larger difference of around 0.08 post-progression. The EAG considered this to lack face validity. It noted that, based on clinical and patient expert feedback, most of mirvetuximab's benefit would be expected before progression while people were having treatment. This is because mirvetuximab is expected to reduce the side effect burden and delay the time to the next treatment line. The EAG noted that the large post-progression utility benefit (nearly 4 times greater than pre-progression utility benefit) was difficult to justify. This was even after accounting for the increased time to second progression and increased chance of responding to subsequent chemotherapy. The EAG also noted that the unexpected results of the company's updated analysis, with the interaction term, may have been influenced by low sample size and high levels of missingness post-progression. It noted that the mixed model for repeated measures method used by the company assumed data was missing at random, but no justification for this assumption was given. It added that the sensitivity analyses in the company's draft guidance addendum to explore the impact of this missingness did not account for missingness across the length of follow-up for post-progression observations. It remained unclear to the EAG whether the mixed model for repeated measures was appropriate under the missing-at-random assumption. Regarding the company's scenario, the EAG agreed with the logic that quality of life will be, at least partly, dependent on the type of treatment people are having. But it noted that the same treatments are available after mirvetuximab and chemotherapy and so a large differentiation in post-progression utilities between treatment arms was unlikely to be justifiable. The EAG also noted that the company could have reanalysed its trial data to identify whether post-progression utility values were observed before or after the second progression, rather than basing this scenario analysis on assumptions. The committee agreed with the EAG that the results of the company's updated utility regression analysis, including the interaction term, lacked face validity. It also agreed that the company's scenario analysis could have been based on trial data. So, it did not believe the company's additional analyses to be methodologically robust or appropriate to use in the model. The committee concluded that the additional evidence presented was not sufficient to change its decision since the first committee meeting. The committee maintained that it preferred to use MIRASOL utilities without the interaction term.