3 Approach to evidence generation

3.1 Evidence gaps and ongoing studies

Table 1 summarises the evidence gaps and ongoing studies that might address them. Information about evidence status is derived from the external assessment group's reports; evidence not meeting the scope and inclusion criteria is not included. The table shows the evidence available to the committee when the guidance was published.

Table 1 Evidence gaps and ongoing studies

Evidence gap and technology

Change in weight

Monitoring and reporting adverse events

Resource use

Adherence and completion

Health-related quality of life

Psychological outcomes

CheqUp

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

Counter-weight

Limited evidence

Ongoing studies

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

Limited evidence

Ongoing studies

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

Gro Health W8Buddy

Limited evidence

Limited evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

Limited evidence

No evidence

Juniper

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

No evidence

Liva

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

Limited evidence

Oviva

Evidence available

Ongoing studies

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

Ongoing study

Evidence available

Ongoing studies

Limited evidence

Ongoing studies

Limited evidence

Roczen

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

Second Nature

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

Ongoing study

No evidence

Ongoing study

Weight Loss Clinic

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

Limited evidence

No evidence

No evidence

3.2 Data sources

There are data collections with different strengths and weaknesses that could potentially support evidence generation. NICE's real-world evidence framework provides detailed guidance on assessing the suitability of a real-world data source to answer a specific research question.

NHS Digital's Community Services Data Set (CSDS) is a patient-level secondary uses dataset with clinical and operational data collected from publicly funded community services. It includes data from tier 2 and tier 3 weight-management service providers in England and could support evidence generation.

Patient‑level data from the CSDS can be linked to other datasets such as NHS Digital's Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) to support the evaluation of outcomes such as adverse events, further hospital appointments and referral to bariatric surgery. But all the outcomes needed to address the evidence gaps may not be available from the CSDS (for example, adherence data collected by the technology) and linking to other sources may not be possible. This may mean that additional data collection is needed.

The CSDS also informs the NHS National Obesity Audit. The audit data could provide supporting contextual information for evaluating cost effectiveness, such as current national uptake and accessibility of multidisciplinary weight-management services and assessment of changes over time.

The quality and coverage of real-world data collections are of key importance when used in generating evidence. Active monitoring and follow up through a central coordinating point is an effective and viable approach of ensuring good-quality data with broad coverage.

3.3 Evidence collection plan

To address the evidence gaps, a before and after implementation study or a prospective cohort study is suggested.

For either approach to evidence generation, the study should include people who have had a clinical assessment and are referred to multidisciplinary weight-management services for support. The study should compare outcomes between those whose weight-management service is delivered through the digital technologies and those who have treatment with standard care (in-person or remote treatment, or both) without implementation of the technologies. Data should be collected separately for people having:

  • weight-management medicine with multidisciplinary weight-management programme support

  • multidisciplinary weight-management programme support without weight-management medicine.

For either study design, high-quality data on patient characteristics is needed to correct for any important differences between comparison groups (for example, using propensity score methods) and to assess who the technologies would not be suitable for. Important confounding factors should be identified with input from clinical experts during protocol development. It is important that people in either comparison group are followed up from a consistent start point at which they have been, or would have been, offered care through the digital technology. This should be in line with the intended use of the technology in the clinical pathway. Loss to follow up should be reported, with reasons, over the data collection period. Differences between self-reported and clinically measured weight-loss outcomes are also a potential source of bias, particularly if these vary between comparison groups, so a consistent measure should be used.

It is essential that appropriate safeguarding and risk management processes are in place when generating evidence. The pathway must allow for clinical review before referral to the technology programme. Also, any safety issues and related adjustments to medicine during the intervention must be flagged to the appropriate teams for onward referral and investigation. Composition of the multidisciplinary team must be reported and should include, or have access to, psychological support.

Data collection should follow a predefined protocol and quality assurance processes should be put in place to ensure the integrity and consistency of data collection. See NICE's real-world evidence framework, which provides guidance on the planning, conduct, and reporting of real-world evidence studies. This document also provides best practice principles for robust design of real-world evidence when assessing comparative treatment effects.

Before and after implementation study

A before and after design allows for comparisons when there is considerable variation across services in the standards and mode of delivery of multidisciplinary weight-management programmes.

After an enrolment period, the data collection period should be long enough to ensure there is 1‑year follow‑up data for the standard care groups. The digital technology should then be implemented in the service and data collected from new people having support provided through the technologies. In the second observation period, follow up for 2 years is preferable to show if any weight loss is sustained. The study should compare outcomes between those whose weight management is delivered through the digital technologies and those who had treatment with standard care before implementation of the technologies.

This study could be done at a single centre or ideally, replicated across multiple centres. This could show how the technology can be implemented across a range of services, representative of the variety in the NHS. Outcomes may reflect other changes that occur over time in the population, unrelated to the interventions. Additional robustness can be achieved by collecting data in a centre that has not implemented the technology but is as similar as possible (in terms of clinical practice and patient characteristics) to a site where the technology is being used. This could help control for changes over time that might have occurred anyway and could also enable 2‑year follow up in a standard care group.

Prospective comparative cohort study

An alternative approach to evidence generation, when sites are sufficiently comparable in terms of standard and mode of delivery of multidisciplinary weight-management programmes, is a robustly designed and well-conducted parallel cohort comparison study design. In this type of study, data should be collected from patients in healthcare services where the digital technologies are implemented. It should be simultaneously compared with other similar services where the technologies are not being offered. The study should compare outcomes between those whose weight management is delivered through the digital technologies and similar people having treatment at a comparable site that did not implement the technologies.

3.4 Data to be collected

To address the evidence gaps, the following data should be collected. For people who are taking weight-management medicine, baseline is when the medicine is prescribed. For people who are not taking weight-management medicine, baseline is when they are referred for multidisciplinary weight-management support:

  • change in weight, at baseline and at 6 months, 1 year and 2 years follow up

  • change in body mass index (BMI), at baseline and at 6 months, 1 year and 2 years follow up

  • health-related quality of life (for example, EQ-5D) at baseline and at 6 months, 1 year and 2 years follow up

  • psychological outcomes (for example, measures for anxiety and depression such as PHQ-9 and GAD-7, and measures assessing eating disorders such as TFEQ-R18, BEDS‑7 and EEQ) at baseline and at 6 months, 1 year and 2 years follow up

  • safety indicators monitored and occurrence of adverse events, any medicine and intervention-related adverse effects (including physical and psychological effects), increase in BMI, or unexpectedly large or sudden reduction in BMI, new diagnoses of anxiety or depression, incidence of suicide and self-harm, development of eating disorders

  • information about the multidisciplinary service provided (composition and frequency and mode of interaction with the person) including NHS grade of staff involved

  • programme adherence and completion rates, including reasons for stopping the programme

  • weight-management medicine type, dose and prescription date

  • medicine adherence, rates and reason for stopping the medicine, including side effects, discontinuation criteria (for example, less than 5% of the initial weight lost after 6 months), reaching predefined weight loss goals

  • uptake: information on the number of people accessing multidisciplinary weight-management services (and, when relevant, weight-management medicine) with and without the technology

  • information at baseline about potential confounding factors and characteristics that could be associated with reduced access or adherence to multidisciplinary weight-management services (for example, comorbidities, sex, age, ethnicity, disabilities, geographical region, socioeconomic status)

  • resource use, including the number and type of healthcare appointments attended, cost of medicine, NHS staff time needed, and rates of referral to bariatric surgery

  • costs associated with implementation and maintenance of the technologies, including any training costs

  • cost estimates for multidisciplinary weight management service in the NHS.

3.5 Evidence generation period

This will be 4 years to allow for setting up, implementing the technologies, supplying and accessing medicine, data collection, analysis and reporting.