May 2026 exceptional surveillance of anaphylaxis: assessment and referral after emergency treatment (NICE guideline CG134)
Comparison of NICE's guideline on anaphylaxis with the Resuscitation Council's guideline
Timing and frequency of blood sampling for measuring mast cell tryptase
New evidence
Section 7 of the RCUK's guideline recommends that:
'Mast cell tryptase should be measured in all patients with suspected anaphylaxis where the diagnosis is uncertain.'
With regards to sample timing, it recommends:
'a) Minimum: one sample, ideally within 2 h (when peak tryptase levels generally occur) and no later than 4 h after onset of symptoms.
b) Ideally: take three timed samples:
1) An initial sample as soon as feasible – but do not delay treatment to take sample.
2) A second sample 1 – 2 h (but no later than 4 h) after onset of symptoms.
3) A third sample at least 24 h after complete resolution, or in convalescence.'
These recommendations are largely consistent with NICE's guideline on anaphylaxis which recommends:
'Record the time of onset of the reaction.
After a suspected anaphylactic reaction in adults or young people aged 16 years or older, take timed blood samples for mast cell tryptase testing as follows:
-
a sample as soon as possible after emergency treatment has started
-
a second sample ideally within 1 to 2 hours (but no later than 4 hours) from the onset of symptoms.'
NICE's guideline on anaphylaxis makes the same recommendations for children aged less than 16 years but they are consider recommendations, due to extrapolation from studies of adult populations about mast cell tryptase utility in diagnosing anaphylaxis.
NICE's guideline differs from the RCUK's guideline because it is less directive and explicit.
It recommends:
'Inform the person (or, as appropriate, their parent and/or carer) that a blood sample may be required at follow-up with the specialist allergy service to measure baseline mast cell tryptase.'
Impact assessment
The RCUK recommend a third sample at 24-h 'because it provides a baseline tryptase value (as)…some individuals have an elevated baseline level and may be at greater risk of anaphylaxis in response to some triggers.' This is therefore a risk management recommendation that acts to identify people who may be at higher risk of a subsequent anaphylactic episode or who may have raised levels due to another condition.
The NICE guideline recommendations about the timing of blood samples are based on 13 studies that investigated mast cell tryptase's utility to confirm anaphylaxis in adults, no studies in children were identified. No information on the optimal timing of baseline measurement of mast cell tryptase was identified. Very low quality evidence from 7 observational studies (n=178 patients) reported that the timing of peak levels ranged from 1 minute to 6 hours (median 30 minutes).
The committee noted that 'some patients had unexplained high levels of mast cell tryptase (for example, in mastocytosis), and therefore in order to interpret the results correctly it was important for a baseline sample to be taken. To aid the interpretation of the results it was agreed that this baseline sample would need to be taken at least 24 hours after the onset of symptoms, probably during specialist follow-up (full guideline pages 25 to 26)' This is the origin of the recommendation, which accommodates a third sample after at least 24 hours, although it is far less specific and directive than the RCUK's recommendation.
The RCUK's recommendation is based on that from the World allergy organization anaphylaxis guidance 2020 which states: 'It is recommended to evaluate baseline serum tryptase at least 24 h after resolution of anaphylaxis symptoms, even when tryptase concentration during episode remains within normal range'. This is a consensus recommendation that is taken from another consensus recommendation from the 2010 Mast cell activation working conference (Valent et al. 2011). This attempted to define mast cell activation (MCA) using 'accepted, objective, easily measurable, and commonly applicable parameters and criteria.' This is a goal predicated on knowing a person's baseline mast cell tryptase levels. The report states that 'the following criteria were regarded as indicative of systemic MCA: (1) typical clinical signs and symptoms, (2) substantial and transient increase in an MC-derived mediator in biological fluids…during or shortly after the acute event compared to a baseline level recorded either before the acute event or at least 24 h after all clinical signs and symptoms of the event have completely resolved.'
NICE's recommendation, accommodates taking a third post-anaphylaxis blood sample in a specialist allergy service. Feedback from a clinical colleague at NICE with experience in this area suggests this remains standard NHS practice. Considering this and that the evidence underpinning the RCUK's guideline is based on consensus, we do not propose to update the NICE guideline recommendations about blood sampling at this time.
April 2026: update to the timing and frequency of blood sampling for measuring mast cell tryptase
Background
Following the conclusion of this surveillance report we met with an anaphylaxis expert from the RCUK who commented that NICE's guideline recommendations about the use of MCT should not differ based on an individual's age. They also highlighted that the NICE guideline recommendations about MCT are different strengths and are conditional based on age as follows:
-
NICE's guideline recommends measuring MCT for all people aged over 16 years with suspected anaphylaxis.
-
NICE's guideline recommends considering measuring MCT in people aged less than 16 years only if it is thought to be venom-related, drug-related or idiopathic.
They commented that this is based on an erroneous interpretation of limited and dated evidence and that NICE's recommendations differ from those made by some other centres including the RCUK. The RCUK colleague pointed us to the evidence review underpinning the US's Joint Task Force on Practice Parameters (JTFPP)'s Anaphylaxis: A 2023 practice parameter update as a good source of up to date evidence about MCT utility.
Like the RCUK, the JTFPP do not make a distinction by age about the circumstances of when MCT should be measured in cases of suspected anaphylaxis. We therefore carried out a second surveillance review that investigated the utility of MCT measurement in children aged less than 16 years.
Methods
-
Re-considering evidence underpinning the RCUKs guidelines about measuring MCT in children included in the Emergency treatment of anaphylactic reactions: Guidelines for healthcare providers.
-
Considering the evidence underpinning the JFTPP's 2023 recommendations about measuring MCT in Anaphylaxis: A 2023 practice parameter update and the overall quality of the practice parameter.
-
Considering recommendations about the use of MCT for anaphylaxis diagnosis from other centres including the World Allergy organization (WAO), the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health (RCPCH) and European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology (EAACI).
-
Re-considering the evidence about the use of MCT in children included in NICE's guideline.
-
Consulting with a NICE Consultant Clinical Adviser.
-
A search for studies about the utility of MCT for the identification of anaphylaxis in children and adults, that post-date the Anaphylaxis: A 2023 practice parameter update evidence review.
Impact assessment
We assessed the impact of evidence and intelligence gathered from the sources listed above and made the following impact assessment:
Recommendations about MCT testing in children from other guideline producers largely make no distinction between when to test in children compared with when to test in adults. However, like NICE's guideline, the recommendations are largely consensus informed by low quality evidence. While there is evidence post-dating NICE's guideline development about MCT use in children that is referenced by the JFPTT, there remains a paucity of evidence in children and experts are often limited to extrapolating data from adults to make recommendations about children.
New evidence post-dating the JFPTT practice parameter suggests clinical utility for MCT for diagnosis in children (sensitivity 53% to 72%) may be comparable with that in adults (sensitivity 73%). However, some of this evidence is mixed in its conclusions. For example, 1 study in children suggests MCT is only elevated in severe reactions while another reports no correlation between severity and tryptase level.
We did identify some evidence that is limited in volume and quality that milk-related anaphylaxis causes elevated tryptase levels and that MCT may be useful for diagnostic work up in these cases. There is recent evidence from epidemiological studies that milk is the most common cause of food-related anaphylaxis fatality in children less than 16 years old. However, this evidence is not enough on its own to warrant amending recommendations about when to measure MCT in children.
While organisations including the WAO, The EAACI, the RCUK and the RCPCH do not make separate recommendations for children and adults, their recommendations are largely consensus. They are informed by very low quality evidence for children which is limited in volume resulting in experts relying on extrapolation from evidence from adult populations. Due to the poor quality and sometimes mixed evidence for children about MCT utility, NICE's guideline is assessed as being correct in making a separate weaker 'consider' recommendation for children and a stronger 'offer' recommendation for adults.
Conclusions
NICE's guideline having separate recommendations about MCT testing for people older and people younger than 16 years who have been treated for suspected anaphylaxis, remains valid. While other guideline producers do not do this, the weaker recommendations in NICE's guideline for children more appropriately reflect the greater uncertainty around the utility of MCT testing in children resulting from a lower volume of evidence.
We will add the topic of anaphylaxis caused by cow milk allergy in children to the issues log for NICE's guideline.
Duration of the post-anaphylaxis observation period
Anaphylaxis can be followed by a biphasic reaction (BR); a repeat episode at a relatively short interval after the first in the absence of any further obvious exposure to a causal allergen.
New evidence
To mitigate BRs theRCUK's Emergency treatment of anaphylaxis guideline (page 43) recommends observation periods stratified by risk of 2 hours, at least 6 hours and at least 12 hours. The latter duration is longer than the NICE guideline currently recommends, and NICE's guideline does not explicitly stratify by defined risk criteria other than suggesting that the response to treatment may indicate risk of BR.
NICE's guideline recommends that 'Adults and young people aged 16 years or older who have had emergency treatment for suspected anaphylaxis should be observed for 6 to 12 hours from the onset of symptoms, depending on their response to emergency treatment. In people with reactions that are controlled promptly and easily, a shorter observation period may be considered provided that they receive appropriate post-reaction care prior to discharge.'
NICE's guideline also recommends that 'Children younger than 16 years who have had emergency treatment for suspected anaphylaxis should be admitted to hospital under the care of a paediatric medical team.'
NICE's guideline recommendations about post-anaphylaxis observation periods are based on expert opinion as no studies were identified investigating an optimal observation period (full guideline page 34 section 3.2.3). As a result, the committee made a recommendation for research on length of observation period following emergency treatment for anaphylaxis. This recommends an RCT that compares differing observation durations.
The RCUK guideline recommends 12 hours or more in the following circumstances:
-
Severe reaction requiring >2 doses of adrenaline.
-
Patient has severe asthma or reaction involved severe respiratory compromise.
-
Possibility of continuing absorption of allergen, for example, slow-release medicines.
-
Patient presents late at night, or may not be able to respond to any deterioration.
-
Patients in areas where access to emergency care is difficult.
This is a 'weak' recommendation because it is based on what the RCUK assessed as very low certainty evidence. The new evidence for stratification of observation by risk identified by the RCUK that is in scope for NICE's guideline, includes 3 studies: Kraft et al. 2020, Lee et al. 2015, and Kim et al. 2019. The RCUK guideline's Evidence to Decision Framework (page 29) describes the rationale for this stratified approach (this is a supplement to Dodd et al. 2021).
Lee et al. 2015 is a meta-analysis of 27 observational studies (n=4,112, 192 BRs, including 10 studies of paediatric patients n=1,473, 54 BRs). The study reports that the median onset of a BR is 11 hours with a range of 0.2 to 11.0 hours. The ages of the participants included are not described in the abstract. The study reports that food as the allergen lowers the risk of BR (odds ratio [OR] 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.4 to 0.94). Unknown triggers were associated with an increased risk of a BR (pooled OR 1.72, 95% CI, 1.0 to 2.95). Initial presentation with hypotension was also associated with the development of a BR (pooled OR 2.18, 95% CI, 1.14 to 4.15). Results for children are not reported separately. The study is included in the 2016 surveillance of NICE's guideline, which assessed it as not being enough on its own to warrant updating recommendations. The surveillance review reported that topic experts (TEs) said that new evidence was available about post-anaphylaxis observation periods but that they provided no references.
Kraft et al. 2020 is an analysis of registry data from n=9,171 cases from 11 countries, 10 European, not including the UK, and includes 2,187 children (<17 years). It reports a BR rate of 4.7% (n=435) with 60.5% (n=225) occurring within 12 hours after initial anaphylaxis; 23.9% (n=89) between 12- and 24-hours; and 15.6% (n=58) occurring after 24-hours. The rate of biphasic reactions did not significantly differ between children (5.1% [4.3% to 6%]) and adults (4.6% [4.1% to 5.1%]). The study reports that the following factors increased the risk of BR: reaction severity (grade III/IV versus grade II (OR 1.34; 95% CI: 1.1 to 1.62); multiorgan involvement; skin, gastrointestinal, severe respiratory, and cardiac symptoms; anaphylaxis caused by peanut/tree nut (OR 1.78; 95% CI: 1.38 to 2.23) or an unknown elicitor (OR 1.96; 95% CI: 1.41 to 2.72); and exercise as a cofactor (OR 1.44; 95% CI: 1.17 to 1.78).
Kim et al. 2019 is a meta-analysis of 12 studies (n=2,890 anaphylactic episodes, with 143 BRs) including adults and people of 'unidentifiable' age. It reports that 1-hour of observation achieved a 95% negative predictive value (NPV) and 6-hour or more, 97%. The NPV increased with longer observation periods with the trend of increasing NPV slowing after 6-hours. Incidence at 1- and 4-hours was 0.45 (95% CI 0.20 to 1.04) and 0.41 (95% CI 0.19 to 0.87) per 100 person-hours. After 8-hours an NPV > 98% was reported (incidence <0.10/100 person-hours). The authors conclude that although longer observation duration identified more people, a decreasing incidence is observed and a 6 to 12-hours observation window is probably practical.
Evidence provided by topic experts
A TE highlighted Dribin et al. 2025, a retrospective cohort study of children (n=5,641, median age 7.9 years, IQR 3.3 to 13.1) which investigated the incidence and timing of repeat adrenaline dosing based on initial reaction severity. The primary outcome was time from first dose to last dose of intramuscular or intravenous adrenaline administered before or during the emergency department stay. The study aimed to estimate the time threshold when there was <2% increase in the cumulative incidence in repeat adrenaline dosing as the observation time increased by 1-hour. The authors comment that <2% was 'a clinically acceptable risk' of receiving adrenaline after discharge.
| Time from first to final repeat dose of adrenaline | 2 hours | 4 hours | 6 hours | 8 hours | <2% incidence threshold (mins) (95% CI) | Proportion receiving a repeat dose after the <2% incidence threshold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Whole group (n=5,641) |
4.7% |
1.9% |
1.1% |
0.8% |
115 (105, 122) |
5.0% |
|
Anaphylaxis without respiratory or cardiovascular involvement (n=1,070) |
3.8% |
1.3% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
105 (54, 135) |
4.1% |
|
Anaphylaxis with respiratory involvement but not cardiovascular (n=4,070) |
4.5% |
2.0% |
1.3% |
1.0% |
109 (98, 118) |
5.2% |
|
Anaphylaxis with cardiovascular involvement (n=495) |
7.5% |
2.8% |
1.2% |
0.8% |
161 (125, 249) |
4.4% |
This study suggests only a small proportion of children required repeat adrenaline doses, and that most received their last dose within a 2-hour window except for those with anaphylaxis with cardiovascular involvement. Risk factors for repeat adrenaline were severe respiratory (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.84) or cardiovascular involvement (OR 3.18, 95% CI 2.35 to 4.17).
Following discharge 1.5% (n=83) had an emergency department (ED) revisit within 72-hours related to the original episode of which 33 of 83 received adrenaline. Of 2,562 patients who received pre-ED adrenaline 84.2% did not receive repeat adrenaline in the ED.
Some limitations of this study are that it uses final dose as a proxy for stability rather than the timing and rates of BR; it was conducted in the US healthcare system so it's relevance to a UK population may be questionable; and it excludes people transferred from other healthcare providers and those with MCA disorders. The latter criteria may both have led to the exclusion of more severe anaphylaxis cases that are more likely to require longer observation periods.
Further searches (Elicit, PubMed, Google Scholar) identified Short et al. (2024) a retrospective cohort study of children (n=292, mean age 8.8 years SD +/-5.7) investigating the frequency and timing of BRs. Participants were observed for an average of 233.1 minutes in line with NIAID (United States National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases) recommendations of 4 to 6 hours. N=10 experienced a BR, 6 within an average of 96.3 minutes after initial symptom resolution and 4 between 10 and 33 hours after resolution. It reports no significant difference in the number of symptoms at anaphylaxis onset (cardiac, respiratory, GI, mucosal) or time to first adrenaline dose between groups. This suggests it is very difficult to definitively predict those at risk of a delayed BR, although n=10 is a very small number of events from which to make generalisations.
Impact assessment
Adults aged 16 years and above
NICE's guideline recommendations about duration of observation period are based on consensus. The RCUK's guideline is informed by new evidence, some of which was highlighted during the 2016 surveillance review along with a small signal of change from TEs. Although the RCUK considered the new evidence to be of low certainty, they considered it sufficient to warrant a change in recommendations.
The RCUK note in Emergency treatment of anaphylaxis (section 8.2) that the 'previous RCUK guideline referred to the NICE 2011 recommendation that patients over 16 years of age should be observed for 6 to 12 hours from the onset of symptoms. However, recent evidence suggests that this strategy may miss over 50% of biphasic reactions in the 5% of patients who experience them.'
The figure of 50% is likely taken from Lee et al. 2015 that reports that the median onset of a biphasic reaction is 11-hours. Additionally, Kraft et al. 2020 reports that 40% of BRs happened >12-hours after onset of symptoms.
In addition to duration of observations, the RCUK, also based on this new evidence, have recommended stratifying duration according to the presence of risk factors which are additional to those in NICE's guideline, which includes only response to treatment. Furthermore, the RCUK provide some indication of the level of risk from these factors by basing the duration of post-anaphylaxis observation on their presence or absence. It has been noted by a clinical colleague at NICE that in their experience, a 6-hour observation period is often promoted to staff. However, they also noted that a stratified approach with a clear rationale, may enable observation periods to be reduced in some people, and will also enable clearer communication with patients about the duration of observation periods.
Eight out of 9 TEs consulted as part of this exceptional review agreed with this proposal, noting that stratification by risk is a clinically sound strategy and consistent recommendations between the RCUK and NICE are welcome. We therefore propose that NICE's recommendation is replaced with the RCUK's Emergency treatment of anaphylaxis recommendations about a risk-stratified approach to the length of in-hospital observation following anaphylaxis (page 43).
Children aged less than 16 years
The RCUK's recommendations for a stratified approach includes infants, children and adults, although it acknowledges that children less than 16 years old should be subject to 'additional consideration' (see RCUKs EtD table 10 page 29). Two of the 3 pieces of new evidence that were not considered during NICE's guideline development include a significant proportion of children. Additionally, new evidence from a large US cohort provided by a TE during consultation on this exceptional surveillance, reports that most children with suspected anaphylaxis are stabilised within 2-hours following their last dose of adrenaline.
We consulted with TEs about only applying a stratified approach to adults; 3 TEs disagreed with this and 5 agreed. Several commented that there is an increase in cases of anaphylaxis which is largely driven by children, a claim supported by evidence (Bassegio et al. 2018). A TE noted that there is no rationale to justify not stratifying observation duration by risk factor for children as the RCUK recommends this approach. They commented that to not do so misses the opportunity to improve patient experience and make cost-savings. Another TE noted that some paediatric wards already have short stay observation units.
Based on this, it proposed that NICE's recommendation is also replaced with that from the RCUK about a risk-stratified approach to the length of in-hospital observation following anaphylaxis.
Previous surveillance reviews
Lee et al. 2015 about post-anaphylaxis observation periods is included in the 2016 surveillance of NICE's guideline. It was assessed as having not being enough on its own to warrant updating recommendations. The review reported that TEs said that new evidence was available about post-anaphylaxis observation periods.
The 2014 evidence update did not identify any impacting evidence.
This page was last updated: