4 Committee discussion

The appraisal committee reviewed the data available on the clinical and cost effectiveness of adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab, having considered evidence on the nature of psoriasis and the value placed on the benefits of adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab by people with the condition, those who represent them, and clinical experts. The data on the clinical evidence was submitted by the assessment group, AbbVie (adalimumab) and Janssen (ustekinumab). The data on the cost-effectiveness evidence was submitted by the assessment group. It also took into account the effective use of NHS resources.

4.1 The committee heard from the patient and clinical experts about the experience of people with psoriasis. It heard that the disease results in itchy, dry, red, scaly plaques on the skin, which can be physically and psychologically debilitating. Psoriasis may be unpredictable, with flare‑ups and remissions. The committee heard that, because psoriasis is visible, it can make children and young people feel isolated and lonely, which could lead to them losing self-confidence and avoiding social situations. The committee agreed that severe plaque psoriasis reduces quality of life.

Treatment pathway

4.2 The committee heard from the clinical expert that the aim of treatment for people with psoriasis is to reduce the area of skin covered with psoriatic lesions and improve symptoms such as redness, flaking and itching. The committee was aware that, although there is a NICE guideline on psoriasis: assessment and management, treatment varies in practice. It heard from the clinical expert that children and young people have topical treatments first line. It heard that, if there is an inadequate response to treatment or if it is not tolerated or contraindicated, they can have systemic non-biological therapies (such as methotrexate, ciclosporin and phototherapy) second line. Clinicians then offer children and young people biological therapies or best supportive care third line. The clinical expert informed the committee that, if the disease no longer responds to a biological treatment, clinicians offer patients another biological therapy. The committee was aware that if patients could not have biological therapy they would have best supportive care, which would be non-biological systemic treatment. These treatments can be associated with frequent hospital visits for monitoring or treatment administration that can be inconvenient. These treatments can also be associated with adverse effects, for example, people who have phototherapy have an increased risk of developing skin cancer. The committee understood from the clinical expert that biological treatments have had a positive effect on patients over recent years because there is no longer a need to be hospitalised for long periods for treatment or monitoring. The committee concluded that it is valuable to have a range of biological treatment options that have different mechanisms of action.

Position of technologies in the treatment pathway and comparators

4.3 The committee was aware that the marketing authorisations were different for adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab (see section 2). It was aware that adalimumab could be given as an alternative to non-biological systemic therapies but heard from the clinical expert that in clinical practice all 3 drugs are used as third line after topical therapies, phototherapy and non-biological systemic agents. It heard however, that patients and clinicians would welcome the opportunity to offer biologicals earlier in the treatment pathway. The committee concluded that the most appropriate comparator for adalimumab as a second-line treatment was non-biological systemic therapy (such as methotrexate). It also concluded that the most appropriate comparators for adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab as third-line treatment were each other and best supportive care, and that this was the point at which biologicals would most likely be used in the NHS.

Clinical effectiveness

4.4 The committee considered the randomised controlled trial evidence for adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab submitted by the companies and reviewed by the assessment group:

  • M04‑717 compared adalimumab with methotrexate in children and young people (n=114) aged 4 years to 17 years. At 16 weeks adalimumab had improved Psoriasis Area and Severity Index 75 (PASI 75; a 75% reduction in PASI response) more than methotrexate (relative risk [RR] 1.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04 to 3.06).

  • 20030211 compared etanercept with placebo in children and young people (n=211) aged 6 years to 17 years. At 12 weeks, etanercept had improved PASI 75 more than placebo (RR 4.95, 95% CI 2.84 to 8.65).

  • CADMUS compared ustekinumab with placebo in children and young people (n=110) aged 12 years to 17 years. At 12 weeks, ustekinumab had improved PASI 75 more than placebo (RR 7.5, 95% CI 2.9 to 19.1).

Generalisability of the clinical trials to clinical practice

4.5 The committee considered the severity of psoriasis and the way it was defined in clinical practice and in the trials. It heard from the clinical experts that clinicians use both the PASI and the Children's Dermatology Life Quality Index (CDLQI; a questionnaire designed for use in children aged 5 years to 16 years) when monitoring disease and choosing who to offer biological therapies. The committee noted that percentage reduction in PASI score was the primary end point in M04‑717 and 20030211, and a secondary end point in CADMUS. It heard from the clinical expert that a 75% reduction in PASI (PASI 75) is a broadly used assessment method in children and young people. The committee agreed that the appropriate outcomes were captured in the trials. The committee concluded that PASI was a relevant measure used in clinical practice in the NHS and that PASI 75 was a clinically relevant definition of response to treatment.

4.6 The committee discussed the baseline characteristics of the patients in the trials:

  • Severity: the committee noted that the definition of severity varied between trials (notably, the inclusion criteria differed). It heard from the clinical expert that in practice clinicians use the definitions outlined in existing NICE guidance for biological treatments in adults. It heard that 'severe' disease is generally defined as a PASI of 10 or more. The committee noted that the trials mostly used a PASI at or above a score of 10.

  • Age: the committee noted that the mean age between the trials differed. It understood that this reflected the marketing authorisation for each technology (see section 4.9).

    The committee heard from clinical experts that the trials broadly reflected children and young people with severe plaque psoriasis in the NHS. It agreed that 'severe' disease should be defined as a PASI of 10 or more. It concluded that the clinical trial evidence was appropriate for decision-making and generalisable to NHS practice in England.

Network meta-analysis results

4.7 The committee heard from the assessment group that it was not possible to connect the interventions and comparators together using direct evidence from children and young people alone because the trials did not use a common comparator. The committee understood that the assessment group's preferred analysis included all available adult data, because of the lack of evidence in children and young people. The committee understood that the assessment group adjusted for differences in population response rates and placebo response rates because they differed between trials and between children and adults. It agreed with the assessment group that all available adult evidence should be included in the network, and that it was appropriate to adjust the data for population characteristics and placebo response rates.

4.8 The results of the network meta-analyses are presented in table 1. The results for PASI 75 showed that the effectiveness of ustekinumab and adalimumab were similar, and that ustekinumab and adalimumab were more effective than etanercept. The committee heard from the clinical expert that this reflected clinical practice because clinicians are unlikely to offer etanercept as a first biological therapy. The committee was concerned that using adult data could potentially bias the effect estimates, but agreed that this was mitigated by the assessment group having adjusted for population and placebo effects. The committee concluded that, despite the uncertainty associated with the network meta-analyses (see section 4.7), the results showed adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab to be more clinically effective than placebo. In addition, the committee concluded that ustekinumab and adalimumab had broadly similar effectiveness, and that both were more clinically effective than etanercept.

Table 1 Network meta-analyses results

%, PASI 75 (95% CrI)

PASI 75 relative risk at 12 weeks, mean (95% CrI)

Versus placebo

Versus etanercept

Versus ustekinumab

Versus adalimumab

Etanercept

54

(39 to 69)

5.09

(3.30 to 8.05)

Ustekinumab

82

(71 to 90)

7.91

(4.46 to 14.14)

1.54

(1.28 to 1.92)

Adalimumab

79

(64 to 90)

7.53

(4.37 to 12.98)

1.47

(1.23 to 1.79)

0.96

(0.85 to 1.05)

Methotrexate

49

(31 to 68)

4.55

(3.01 to 6.94)

0.91

(0.66 to 1.15)

0.59

(0.41 to 0.77)

0.62

(0.44 to 0.78)

Placebo

11.5

(5 to 20)

Abbreviation: CrI, credible interval; PASI, Psoriasis Area and Severity Index.

Cost effectiveness

Model structure

4.9 The committee considered the assessment group's de novo Markov model. It noted the assessment group had done analyses for 3 different populations based on the position of the technology in the treatment pathway, and the different ages specified in the marketing authorisations for each intervention:

  • Population 1 included:

    • children and young people aged 4 years to 17 years

    • people with severe plaque psoriasis eligible for second-line treatment (that is, an alternative to a non-biological systemic treatment)

    • adalimumab and non-biological systemic treatment (methotrexate) as interventions or comparators.

  • Population 2 included:

    • children and young people aged 6 years to 17 years

    • people with severe plaque psoriasis eligible for third-line treatment (that is, as an alternative to another biological treatment or best supportive care)

    • adalimumab, etanercept and best supportive care as interventions or comparators.

  • Population 3 included:

    • children and young people aged 12 years to 17 years

    • people with severe plaque psoriasis eligible for third-line treatment (that is, as an alternative to another biological treatment or best supportive care)

    • adalimumab, etanercept, ustekinumab and best supportive care as interventions or comparators.

      The assessment group's model had 4 health states: 'trial period', 'continued use', 'best supportive care' and 'death'. Patients entered the model in the 'trial period' and had 1 of the 3 biological interventions or a relevant comparator. The modelled PASI response rates were from the assessment group's preferred network meta-analysis. The committee appreciated that young people continue taking biological treatments into adulthood, and may switch treatment, but understood from the assessment group that modelling these treatment sequences was not possible because the relevant data do not exist. The committee was aware that the marketing authorisation for adalimumab included children aged 4 to 6 years and was concerned that population 2 did not include this group of children. It therefore agreed to apply the results from population 2 to children aged between 4 and 6 years, in considering the comparison with best supportive care at third-line therapy (after non-biological systemic treatments). The committee accepted that the assessment group's modelling approach was acceptable for decision-making.

4.10 The committee discussed the length of the time horizon used in the assessment group's model. The assessment group assumed that at the age of 18 years, NICE technology appraisal guidance on etanercept, adalimumab and ustekinumab for biologicals in adults would apply. In the model, the time horizon varied according to population: 14 years for population 1 (aged 4 to 17 years); 12 years for population 2 (aged 6 to 17 years); and 6 years for population 3 (aged 12 to 17 years). The committee heard from one of the companies that a lifetime time horizon was needed to capture the full benefits and costs of treatment because the effects of psoriasis continue into adulthood. It heard from the assessment group that, in its model, most people had withdrawn from biological treatment after 14 years. It also noted that the time horizon did not have a large effect on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). The committee concluded that, although a lifelong time horizon would better reflect the treated natural history of disease, given the data available, the assessment group's approach was acceptable.

4.11 The committee considered the stopping rules used by the assessment group in its model, that is, that clinicians should assess and stop treatment in patients whose disease has not responded by week 12 for etanercept, and week 16 for adalimumab and for ustekinumab. It agreed that this was consistent with the guidance in the summary of product characteristics for etanercept and adalimumab, but not for ustekinumab, which states that response should be assessed at 28 weeks, rather than 16 weeks. The committee understood that 16 weeks was used in NICE's technology appraisal guidance for ustekinumab for treating moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults. The committee agreed that it was desirable to have similar stopping rules for children and adults to avoid unnecessary changes in care during the transition from children to adult services. In addition, the committee agreed it was appropriate to use PASI 75 to assess response to treatment (see section 4.5). The committee concluded that the assessment group's approach and stopping rules based on PASI 75 were appropriate.

Utilities

4.12 The committee discussed the challenges of measuring health-related quality of life in children and young people with psoriasis. The committee appreciated that the assessment group assumed that biological therapies improve quality of life but do not extend life. The committee noted that the trials did not collect data on EuroQol‑5 Dimension‑Youth (EQ‑5D‑Y, a generic preference-based measure for quality of life in people aged 8 years to 15 years), and reported only CDLQI and Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory (PedsQL, an approach to measuring health-related quality of life in healthy children and young people, and those with acute and chronic health conditions). In its model, the assessment group mapped PedsQL scores from the CADMUS trial to EQ‑5D‑Y using a mapping algorithm.

4.13 The committee noted that, when using this mapping algorithm, the quality of life in children and young people at the beginning of the trials was higher than in adults with severe plaque psoriasis (such as in NICE technology appraisal guidance on etanercept, adalimumab and ustekinumab). It also noted that the utility gain associated with an improvement in PASI response in children and young people was lower than in adults. The committee heard that it was implausible that children benefit less than adults, particularly because children experience similar physical symptoms, but some might feel more socially stigmatised than adults. The committee acknowledged that the gain in quality of life associated with an improvement in psoriasis was uncertain. It agreed that it was likely that the increase in quality of life in children and young people would be higher than estimated by the assessment group in its model. The committee concluded that it was appropriate to apply the most optimistic adult utility gains to children and young people.

4.14 The committee heard from the clinical and patient experts that carer disutility should be considered when appraising treatments for severe plaque psoriasis in children. The committee heard that children need help administering their treatments (such as applying emollients) and this can be time consuming, especially for best supportive care. The committee appreciated that it was difficult to estimate the disutility associated with psoriasis for carers and that, in the absence of quantitative estimates of these, the assessment group had not been able to incorporate carer disutilities in its analyses. The committee concluded that it would take into account the reduced disutility to carers with biological treatments in its decision-making.

Resource use and costs

4.15 The committee considered costs used by the assessment group in its model:

  • Number of days in hospital with best supportive care: the committee noted that the assessment group assumed that there were 0 days in hospital with best supportive care after advice from its clinical expert in the absence of evidence. The committee noted comments from the companies that this was too conservative and that the assumption was inconsistent with previous NICE guidance (NICE guideline on psoriasis: 26.60 bed days; and a study on initiation of biological therapy in adults by Fonia et al. [2010]: 6.49 bed days). It heard from the clinical expert that hospitalisation was not common in the paediatric setting and was probably less than 6.49 bed days per year. The committee acknowledged that, because few children and young people with severe plaque psoriasis have best supportive care (with the availability of biologicals) in practice, it was difficult for clinicians to estimate the rate of hospitalisation in these patients. The committee acknowledged that the number of days in hospital was highly uncertain, but also that it had an important effect on the ICER. It agreed that the likely value was between 0 (as assumed by the assessment group) and 6.49 (as in the paper by Fonia et al.).

  • In its base case, the assessment group used costs for hospitalisation (£295.80) and for treatment at day centres (£472.55) from cost codes based on both adults and children. This was because it was not clear to them whether the costs only for children (£520.68 for hospitalisation and £622.29 for day centres) included the cost of the treatment. Following stakeholder comments on the appraisal consultation document, the assessment group also provided analyses using costs based only on children. The committee heard from the assessment group that using the costs only for children could potentially double-count costs of treatment. The committee noted consultation comments from a company, which pointed out that using costs based on both adults and children underestimated the cost of care for children and young people. The committee agreed that it was likely that children's costs would be higher than in adults, but acknowledged that the costs of hospitalisation and day centres for children were uncertain. Based on these uncertainties, the committee concluded that the likely costs for hospitalisation and treatment at day centres would be between the assessment group's base-case costs and the costs only for children.

Cost-effectiveness results and conclusions

4.16 The committee recalled that its preferred assumptions included:

  • using adult utilities for children and young people (see section 4.13)

  • incorporating carer utilities (see section 4.14)

  • assuming the likely number of days in hospital with best supportive care was between 0 and 6.49 (see section 4.15)

  • assuming the likely costs for hospitalisation and for treatment at day centres were between costs based on both adults and children and just children (see section 4.15).

4.17 The committee agreed that the scenario analysis that most closely matched these assumptions was the assessment group's scenario analysis that combined the effect of using adult EQ‑5D data from NICE technology appraisal guidance on adalimumab, and which assumed 6.49 days in hospital per year for children and young adults having best supportive care from Fonia et al. (2010). However, the committee noted that some of its preferred assumptions were not fully reflected in the scenario analysis and took into account the potential for bias in the ICERs:

  • Including carer disutility: the committee agreed that including disutility might reduce the ICERs for more effective treatments.

  • Using higher costs for hospitalisation and for treatment at day centres: the committee agreed that these higher costs reduce the ICERs for more effective treatments.

  • Assuming the likely number of days in hospital with best supportive care was lower than 6.49: the committee agreed that a lower number of days in hospital would increase the ICERs for more effective treatments.

Second-line treatment (population 1)

4.18 The ICER for adalimumab compared with methotrexate using costs for adults and children was £95,527 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. The ICER only using costs only for children was £85,170 per QALY gained. Taking into account potential biases (see section 4.16), the committee concluded that the most plausible ICER was unlikely to be at a level at which adalimumab could be considered a cost-effective use of NHS resources for this population.

Third-line treatment (populations 2 and 3)

4.19 The committee considered the cost-effectiveness estimates for populations 2 and 3:

Population 2:

  • Using adult and paediatric costs:

    • The ICER for etanercept compared with best supportive care was £8,897 per QALY gained.

    • The ICERs for adalimumab compared with etanercept and best supportive care were £49,274 and £25,657 per QALY gained respectively.

  • Using only paediatric costs:

    • Etanercept dominated best supportive care.

    • The ICERs for adalimumab compared with etanercept and best supportive care were £39,410 and £12,466 per QALY gained respectively.

Population 3:

  • Using adult and paediatric costs:

    • Etanercept was extendedly dominated by adalimumab. The ICER for etanercept compared with best supportive care was £29,177 per QALY gained.

    • The ICER for adalimumab compared with best supportive care was £23,861 per QALY gained.

    • The ICERs for ustekinumab compared with adalimumab and best supportive care were £61,722 and £26,253 per QALY gained respectively.

  • Using only paediatric costs:

    • Etanercept was extendedly dominated by adalimumab. The ICER for etanercept compared with best supportive care was £13,324 per QALY gained.

    • The ICER for adalimumab compared with best supportive care was £10,624 per QALY gained.

    • The ICERs for ustekinumab compared with adalimumab and best supportive care were £54,381 and £13,368 per QALY gained respectively.

4.20 The committee discussed whether a fully incremental approach was appropriate for decision-making. The committee was aware that NICE's guide to the methods of technology appraisal states that 'standard decision rules should be followed' and 'when appropriate, these should reflect when dominance or extended dominance exists'. The committee agreed that although a fully incremental approach was desirable, it was not appropriate for this appraisal because:

  • Using a fully incremental approach could result in different recommendations by age. That is, different technologies would be cost effective in children up to 11 years compared with children and young people from 12 to 17 years. The committee was aware that NICE's Social Value Judgement states that 'patients should not be denied, or have restricted access to, treatment simply because of their age'. The committee agreed that it had not been presented with any evidence to suggest that plaque psoriasis in children of different ages responds differently to the treatment.

  • The incremental difference in QALYs was uncertain:

    • The relative effectiveness estimates used in the assessment group's model were based on both direct and indirect comparisons using evidence from adults (see section 4.7).

    • The quality of life associated with an improvement in psoriasis was uncertain and the assessment group's model was based on adult utilities (see sections 4.12 and 4.13). The committee agreed that the incremental QALYs between all the technologies were uncertain.

      On balance, the committee concluded that a pairwise comparison of each technology with best supportive care was more appropriate for its decision-making.

4.21 The committee considered the cost effectiveness of the 3 biologicals. It took into account the potential biases associated with the ICERs (see section 4.17):

  • Etanercept: the most plausible ICER for etanercept compared with best supportive care was between dominance and £29,177 per QALY gained.

  • Adalimumab: the most plausible ICER for adalimumab compared with best supportive care was between £10,624 and 25,657 per QALY gained.

  • Ustekinumab: the most plausible ICER for ustekinumab compared with best supportive care was between £13,368 and £26,253 per QALY gained. The committee concluded that etanercept, adalimumab and ustekinumab could all be considered a cost-effective use of NHS resources for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people.

4.22 The committee understood that it was valuable to have a range of biological treatment options that have different mechanisms of action (see section 4.2). It was also aware that a biosimilar for etanercept was now available. The committee agreed that the choice of treatment should be made on an individual basis after discussion between the responsible clinician and the patient, or their parents or carers, about the advantages and disadvantages of the treatments available. Where a biosimilar product is available, start treatment with the least expensive option, taking into account administration costs, the dose needed and the product cost per dose.

Innovation

4.23 The committee discussed whether adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab could be considered as innovative technologies. The committee heard from the clinical expert that these drugs were not novel to the NHS in England. The committee agreed that carer disutilities had not been included in the modelling but should be taken into account (see section 4.14). The committee concluded that there were QALYs that were not fully captured in the modelling.

Equality issues

4.24 The committee was aware of the potential equality issue raised in previous NICE technology appraisals for adults that the PASI can underestimate disease severity in those with darker skin. The committee concluded that, when using the PASI, healthcare professionals should take into account skin colour and how this could affect the PASI score, and make any adjustments they consider appropriate.

Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme 2014

4.25 The committee was aware of NICE's position statement on the Pharmaceutical Price Regulation Scheme (PPRS) 2014, and in particular the PPRS payment mechanism. It accepted the conclusion 'that the 2014 PPRS payment mechanism should not, as a matter of course, be regarded as a relevant consideration in its assessment of the cost effectiveness of branded medicines'. The committee heard nothing to suggest that there is any basis for taking a different view about the relevance of the PPRS to this appraisal. It therefore concluded that the PPRS payment mechanism was not relevant in considering the cost effectiveness of any of the technologies in this appraisal.

Summary of appraisal committee's key conclusions

TA455

Appraisal title: Adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people

Section

Key conclusion

Adalimumab is recommended as an option for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people aged 4 years or older. Etanercept is recommended as an option for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people aged 6 years or older. Ustekinumab is recommended as an option for treating plaque psoriasis in children and young people aged 12 years or older. The committee concluded that adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab could all be considered a cost-effective use of NHS resources as a treatment for severe plaque psoriasis in children and young people.

1.1 to 1.3; 4.20 to 4.25

Current practice

Clinical need of patients, including the availability of alternative treatments

Children and young people have topical treatments as a first line. If their disease responds inadequately to treatment or if the previous treatment is not tolerated or contraindicated, they can have systemic non-biological therapies (such as methotrexate, ciclosporin and phototherapy) second line. Clinicians then offer children and young people biological therapies or best supportive care third line. If their disease no longer responds to a biological treatment, clinicians offer patients another biological therapy.

4.2

The technologies

Proposed benefits of the technologies

How innovative are the technologies in their potential to make a significant and substantial impact on health-related benefits?

Adalimumab and etanercept inhibit the activity of tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF‑alpha), which is associated with psoriasis. Ustekinumab acts as a cytokine inhibitor by targeting interleukin‑12 and interleukin‑23, which are associated with psoriasis.

2

The committee concluded that the drugs were not novel to the NHS in England and that there were quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) that were not fully captured in the modelling.

4.23

What is the position of the treatments in the pathway of care for the condition?

The committee concluded that adalimumab, etanercept and ustekinumab would be offered as third-line treatments for children and young people with psoriasis.

4.3

Adverse reactions

Adverse reactions are described in the summary of product characteristics for each drug.

2

Evidence for clinical effectiveness

Availability, nature and quality of evidence

The committee considered evidence from the randomised controlled trials:

  • M04‑717 compared adalimumab with methotrexate in children and young people (n=114) aged 4 to 17 years.

  • 20030211 compared etanercept with placebo in children and young people (n=211) aged 4 to 17 years.

  • CADMUS compared ustekinumab with placebo in children and young people (n=110) aged 12 to 17 years.

4.4

Relevance to general clinical practice in the NHS

The committee concluded that clinical trial evidence was appropriate for decision-making and generalisable to NHS practice in England.

4.6

Estimate of the size of the clinical effectiveness including strength of supporting evidence

The effectiveness of ustekinumab and adalimumab were similar based on relative effectiveness estimates for Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 75; adalimumab compared with ustekinumab, relative risk [RR] 0.96, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0.85 to 1.05). In children and young people, ustekinumab (RR 1.54, 95% CrI 1.28 to 1.92) and adalimumab (RR 1.47, 95% CrI 1.23 to 1.79) are more effective than etanercept.

4.7 to 4.8

Evidence for cost effectiveness

Availability and nature of evidence

The committee considered the assessment group's de novo Markov model. It accepted that the model was appropriate for decision-making.

4.9

Uncertainties around and plausibility of assumptions and inputs in the economic model

The committee identified the key uncertainties in the assumptions in the economic model, which include:

  • costs for hospitalisation and for treatment at day centres

  • not including carers' disutility

  • number of days in hospital.

4.17

Incorporation of health-related quality-of-life benefits and utility values

Have any potential significant and substantial health-related benefits been identified that were not included in the economic model, and how have they been considered?

The committee acknowledged that gain in quality of life associated with an improvement in psoriasis was uncertain. It agreed that it was likely that the increase in quality of life in children and young people would be higher than that estimated by the assessment group in its model. The committee concluded that it was appropriate to apply the most optimistic adult utility gains to children and young people.

4.13

Are there specific groups of people for whom the technologies are particularly cost effective?

No.

What are the key drivers of cost effectiveness?

The committee agreed that:

  • including carers' disutility might reduce the ICERs for more effective treatments

  • using higher costs for hospitalisation and for treatment at day centres might reduce the ICERs for more effective treatments

  • fewer days in hospital would increase the ICERs for more effective treatments.

4.17

Most likely cost-effectiveness estimate (given as an ICER)

  • Etanercept: the most plausible ICER for etanercept compared with best supportive care was between dominance and £29,177 per QALY gained.

  • Adalimumab: the most plausible ICER for adalimumab compared with best supportive care was between £10,624 and 25,657 per QALY gained.

  • Ustekinumab: the most plausible ICER for ustekinumab compared with best supportive care was between £13,368 and £26,253 per QALY gained.

4.21

Additional factors taken into account

Patient access schemes (PPRS)

The PPRS payment mechanism was not relevant in considering the cost effectiveness of any of the technologies in this appraisal.

4.25

Equalities considerations and social value judgements

The committee was aware that the PASI can underestimate disease severity in those with darker skin. It concluded that, when using the PASI, healthcare professionals should take into account skin colour and how this could affect the PASI score, and make any adjustments they consider appropriate.

4.24

  • National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE)